Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%Western Carolina

61.1%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -157

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 75

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 79

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricMiddle Tennessee

53MMH Power Index52.5

112.6Offensive Efficiency109.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.7

1.6Net Efficiency3.9

-0.9Strength of Schedule0.4

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

69.7Tempo68.8

51.1%Effective FG%52.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.7–111.0), net efficiency (3.9–1.6), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.9), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.1).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.0–52.5), offensive efficiency (112.6–109.6), recent form (13.1–3.2).

Final

Western Carolina

66—64

Middle Tennessee

Western Carolina by 2 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

24-58FG24-58

41.0%FG%41.0%

2-103PT3-13

20.0%3PT%23.0%

16-22FT13-25

73.0%FT%52.0%

39Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists3

5Turnovers7

3Steals1

2Blocks4

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vonterius Woolbright	Guard	34	7-19	0-0	7-10	12	5	0	0	21
DeJuan Campbell	G	34	5-8	0-1	4-6	8	2	0	0	14
Corneilous Williams	F	17	4-5	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	1	10
Russell Jones Jr.	Guard	34	3-9	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Tre Jackson	Guard	33	1-9	0-3	3-4	1	2	2	0	5
Bernard Pelote	Forward	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Charles Lampten	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Colin Granger	Center	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kamar Robertson	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias King	Guard	34	4-16	2-7	4-8	2	0	1	0	14
Jestin Porter	G	28	6-13	1-3	0-0	9	1	0	0	13
Jacob Johnson	Guard	36	2-3	0-0	5-7	6	0	0	0	9
Justin Bufford	Guard	25	4-8	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	1	9
Josh Ogundele	F	9	3-4	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	9
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	27	3-7	0-1	0-1	7	2	0	2	6
Ty Mosley	Guard	25	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Jalen Jordan	Guard	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Loofe	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-3	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

102.0Offensive Efficiency98.9

98.9Defensive Efficiency102.0

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

43.1%Effective FG%44.0%

48.2%True Shooting %45.8%

7.8%Turnover Rate10.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate43.1%

17.2%3-Point Rate22.4%

1.80Assist / Turnover0.43

Game Summary

Western Carolina won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.