North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.2%North Dakota State

33.8%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -196

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 79

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreUC Davis 75

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricUC Davis

59MMH Power Index48.4

115.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency103.7

14.6Net Efficiency3.5

-4.6Strength of Schedule-1.9

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.6Tempo72.4

54.5%Effective FG%52.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

31.3%Free Throw Rate41.5%

10.1Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–48.4), offensive efficiency (115.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–103.7), net efficiency (14.6–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-4.6), free throw rate (41.5–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

53—68

UC Davis

UC Davis by 15 • 59.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATUC Davis

19-48FG23-57

40.0%FG%40.0%

6-143PT9-20

43.0%3PT%45.0%

9-11FT13-18

82.0%FT%72.0%

28Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds18

11Assists11

16Turnovers12

4Steals2

2Blocks8

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boden Skunberg	G	35	4-17	1-4	3-3	8	1	1	0	12
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	34	3-9	1-1	2-2	3	3	1	0	9
Jacari White	G	21	3-5	2-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	8
Tajavis Miller	G	29	1-3	1-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	6
Andrew Morgan	Forward	15	2-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Jeremiah Burke	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	1	4
Lance Waddles	G	11	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	3	0	1	4
Joshua Streit	Forward	19	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Darik Dissette	Guard	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Noah Feddersen	C	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Sam Hastreiter	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	34	7-20	4-10	6-6	7	2	0	1	24
TY Johnson	Guard	25	3-6	0-0	2-4	6	3	1	0	8
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	22	2-4	2-2	2-3	4	0	0	0	8
Ade Adebayo	Forward	24	3-6	1-1	0-1	3	2	0	2	7
Niko Rocak	F	22	3-7	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	2	6
Kane Milling	Guard	30	1-5	1-2	2-2	3	0	1	2	5
Sam Manu	Forward	11	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Sione Lose	Guard	19	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Pablo Tamba	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Connor Sevilla	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.4Possessions59.4

89.2Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency89.2

-25.3Net Efficiency25.3

45.8%Effective FG%48.2%

49.8%True Shooting %51.9%

27.0%Turnover Rate20.2%

22.9%Free Throw Rate31.6%

29.2%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 59.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.