Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Saint Francis

82.9%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPenn State -485

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 72

Projected Total155.5

Projected ScorePenn State 83

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricPenn State

32.7MMH Power Index42.3

101.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

114.7Defensive Efficiency117.6

-13.5Net Efficiency-8.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule5.3

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

70.6Tempo67.5

49.8%Effective FG%53.4%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

31.2%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-9.5Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Penn State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPenn State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.3–32.7), offensive efficiency (109.2–101.2), net efficiency (-8.4–-13.5), strength of schedule (5.3–-2.3).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (114.7–117.6), recent form (-10.5–-20.8), offensive rebounding (28.4–25.6).

Final

Saint Francis

53—83

Penn State

Penn State by 30 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATPenn State

21-60FG29-66

35.0%FG%44.0%

5-193PT7-28

26.0%3PT%25.0%

6-8FT18-23

75.0%FT%78.0%

40Rebounds40

16Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists12

20Turnovers8

1Steals7

3Blocks3

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	19	7-10	3-5	2-2	8	1	1	0	19
Cam Gregory	G	27	2-10	2-4	0-0	5	0	0	1	6
Elijah Wilborn	F	24	3-8	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	24	2-7	0-2	0-0	6	4	0	0	4
Gestin Liberis	F	18	2-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Carlos Lopez	G	14	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Aidan Harris	Forward	10	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Chris Moncrief	G	24	0-4	0-1	3-4	3	3	0	1	3
Aaron Humphrey Jr.	Forward	9	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Ace Talbert	G	18	0-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Miles Webb	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Braylen Blue	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kanye Clary	G	28	6-12	2-6	0-0	1	3	1	0	14
Zach Hicks	Forward	21	4-10	3-8	1-1	4	1	0	0	12
Qudus Wahab	Forward	19	4-5	0-0	4-4	6	0	0	2	12
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	24	4-9	1-4	2-2	4	4	3	0	11
Demetrius Lilley	C	10	3-3	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	0	8
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	17	3-7	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	23	2-6	0-1	2-2	5	2	1	1	6
Puff Johnson	G	16	2-4	1-2	1-3	4	0	0	0	6
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	15	1-5	0-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	14	0-3	0-2	3-4	2	1	1	0	3
Jameel Brown	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bragi Gudmundsson	Guard	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dan Conlan	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andy Christos	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

77.5Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency77.5

-43.9Net Efficiency43.9

39.2%Effective FG%49.2%

41.5%True Shooting %53.9%

29.5%Turnover Rate11.6%

13.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

31.7%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.65Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Penn State won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.