North Alabama

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%North Alabama

83.1%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -492

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 73

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreMississippi State 83

Team Comparison

North AlabamaMetricMississippi State

34.9MMH Power Index44.6

104.4Offensive Efficiency107.4

116.7Defensive Efficiency113.2

-12.3Net Efficiency-5.8

-1.2Strength of Schedule5.0

-16.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

66.5Tempo72.3

48.9%Effective FG%51.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-8.2Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mississippi State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMississippi State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–34.9), offensive efficiency (107.4–104.4), defensive efficiency (113.2–116.7), net efficiency (-5.8–-12.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-16.3–-17.5), offensive rebounding (31.5–29.8), free throw rate (39.1–30.9).

Final

North Alabama

54—81

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 27 • 77.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North AlabamaTEAM STATMississippi State

21-62FG32-68

34.0%FG%47.0%

4-143PT7-26

29.0%3PT%27.0%

8-13FT10-15

62.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds46

11Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists18

20Turnovers15

9Steals12

3Blocks4

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tim Smith Jr.	Forward	26	5-8	1-3	0-0	4	0	3	0	11
KJ Johnson	Guard	24	3-7	0-0	5-8	3	1	0	0	11
Will Soucie	Guard	27	2-9	1-1	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Josiah Fulcher	Guard	20	3-7	1-2	0-1	5	0	1	0	7
Jacari Lane	G	28	3-10	0-1	0-0	3	2	3	0	6
Damian Forrest	Forward	24	2-5	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	5
Marco Foster	Guard	19	1-7	1-6	0-0	2	0	1	1	3
Canin Jefferson	G	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Eoin Nelson	Center	9	1-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Micah Clark	Guard	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jamal Albritton	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	23	6-11	0-0	2-5	14	1	0	3	14
Josh Hubbard	G	23	4-13	2-9	2-2	2	4	2	0	12
Trey Fort	G	22	3-7	1-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	9
Andrew Taylor	Guard	14	4-7	0-2	1-1	3	3	0	0	9
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	24	3-10	2-5	0-0	4	0	3	1	8
Shakeel Moore	Guard	15	3-4	1-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	8
Cameron Matthews	Forward	27	3-4	0-1	0-1	6	4	5	0	6
Dashawn Davis	Guard	21	1-5	0-1	2-2	0	4	1	0	4
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	14	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Gai Chol	C	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Adrian Myers	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Isaac Stansbury	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.7Possessions77.7

69.5Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency69.5

-34.7Net Efficiency34.7

37.1%Effective FG%52.2%

39.6%True Shooting %53.9%

25.9%Turnover Rate19.2%

21.0%Free Throw Rate22.1%

22.6%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.35Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 77.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.