Alcorn State

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.4%Alcorn State

97.6%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -25.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -4067

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 65

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreArkansas State 91

Team Comparison

Alcorn StateMetricArkansas State

29.1MMH Power Index57.7

96.0Offensive Efficiency113.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency105.3

-19.1Net Efficiency7.8

-2.1Strength of Schedule-1.0

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

69.7Tempo73.3

47.8%Effective FG%52.7%

19.6%Turnover Rate19.4%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

32.4%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-13.3Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–29.1), offensive efficiency (113.1–96.0), defensive efficiency (105.3–115.1), net efficiency (7.8–-19.1).

Final

Alcorn State

86—100

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 14 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alcorn StateTEAM STATArkansas State

28-56FG34-65

50.0%FG%52.0%

3-73PT19-43

43.0%3PT%44.0%

27-34FT13-17

79.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists28

9Turnovers10

9Steals4

1Blocks5

16Fouls23

Player Box Score

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Kendall	Forward	23	11-14	0-0	6-11	14	2	2	0	28
Jalen Hawkins	Shooting Guard	21	4-8	0-2	5-6	1	3	2	0	13
Michael Pajeaud	Guard	22	1-1	0-0	10-10	5	1	1	1	12
DK Thorn	Guard	29	4-7	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Rodrique Massenat	Small Forward	22	2-3	1-1	2-3	3	1	3	0	7
Byron Joshua	Guard	23	2-12	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	6
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt	G	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Jeremiah Gambrell	Shooting Guard	18	1-5	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cameron Butler	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Roderick Jones	Point Guard	9	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Alex Tsynkevich	C	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	23	7-10	4-7	0-1	9	3	1	0	18
Taryn Todd	Guard	29	5-13	3-7	4-4	1	3	1	0	17
Freddy Hicks	G	27	5-8	1-4	3-4	6	4	1	0	14
Zane Butler	Guard	24	4-7	4-7	2-3	1	1	0	2	14
Avery Felts	Guard	20	4-6	4-6	0-0	1	3	0	0	12
Lado Laku	Forward	14	2-4	0-0	4-4	3	0	1	3	8
Derrian Ford	G	23	2-9	1-7	0-1	3	4	0	0	5
Noah McDavid	Guard	7	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Izaiyah Nelson	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Caleb Fields	Guard	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	8	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

122.5Offensive Efficiency142.5

142.5Defensive Efficiency122.5

-19.9Net Efficiency19.9

52.7%Effective FG%66.9%

59.6%True Shooting %68.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate14.1%

60.7%Free Throw Rate26.2%

12.5%3-Point Rate66.2%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.80

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.