Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%Western Kentucky

57.1%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL163.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -133

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 80

Projected Total163.7

Projected ScoreMurray State 83

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricMurray State

55.6MMH Power Index53.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.2Defensive Efficiency111.0

4.4Net Efficiency4.0

1.7Strength of Schedule3.5

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

71.7Tempo72.3

48.6%Effective FG%54.0%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

42.9%Free Throw Rate39.1%

3.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–53.6), defensive efficiency (106.2–111.0), net efficiency (4.4–4.0), recent form (5.2–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.6), strength of schedule (3.5–1.7), shooting efficiency (54.0–48.6).

Final

Western Kentucky

86—81

Murray State

Western Kentucky by 5 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATMurray State

30-57FG25-61

53.0%FG%41.0%

8-163PT8-23

50.0%3PT%35.0%

18-21FT23-32

86.0%FT%72.0%

32Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists15

15Turnovers11

7Steals5

3Blocks3

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	23	7-12	0-1	8-8	1	2	1	0	22
Dontaie Allen	Guard	24	6-9	4-5	2-2	5	0	1	1	18
Khristian Lander	Guard	24	3-4	2-2	4-4	1	2	1	0	12
Brandon Newman	Guard	27	4-10	2-6	1-4	7	1	2	0	11
Rodney Howard	Forward	19	5-7	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Enoch Kalambay	G	23	2-7	0-0	2-2	6	2	1	0	6
Babacar Faye	F	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	29	1-4	0-2	1-1	3	1	1	2	3
Jack Edelen	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Teagan Moore	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Perry	Guard	31	8-19	2-9	3-4	6	4	0	0	21
JaCobi Wood	Guard	40	4-8	2-4	4-6	1	4	2	0	14
Brian Moore Jr.	G	34	3-7	0-1	7-7	2	5	0	0	13
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	35	3-9	2-5	2-4	3	2	1	1	10
Nick Ellington	F	27	4-7	0-0	1-4	6	0	0	2	9
Quincy Anderson	Guard	13	1-5	1-3	3-4	3	0	2	0	6
Malek Abdelgowad	F	11	1-4	0-0	3-3	6	0	0	0	5
Justin Morgan	Guard	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Samuel Murray	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

116.8Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency116.8

6.8Net Efficiency-6.8

59.6%Effective FG%47.5%

64.2%True Shooting %53.1%

20.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

36.8%Free Throw Rate52.5%

28.1%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.