Green Bay

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.9%Green Bay

60.1%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -151

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGreen Bay 72

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreValparaiso 76

Team Comparison

Green BayMetricValparaiso

50.8MMH Power Index49.9

114.0Offensive Efficiency106.6

114.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

0.0Net Efficiency0.8

0.7Strength of Schedule0.3

5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

65.7Tempo67.5

55.4%Effective FG%48.7%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

42.4%Free Throw Rate40.0%

0.0Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Green Bay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGreen Bay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.8–49.9), offensive efficiency (114.0–106.6), strength of schedule (0.7–0.3), recent form (5.1–-0.1).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–114.0), net efficiency (0.8–0.0), ball security (15.6–15.9).

Final

Green Bay

59—64

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 5 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Green BayTEAM STATValparaiso

26-61FG21-58

43.0%FG%36.0%

2-183PT4-18

11.0%3PT%22.0%

5-11FT18-25

45.0%FT%72.0%

42Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists10

11Turnovers5

3Steals6

2Blocks9

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Green Bay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Reynolds	Guard	35	11-25	0-5	2-5	7	1	1	0	24
Elijah Jones	F	33	6-10	0-1	1-2	15	2	0	2	13
Foster Wonders	G	23	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Amari Jedkins	F	18	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Preston Ruedinger	G	26	2-6	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Marcus Hall	F	30	0-0	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	0	2
Rich Byhre	Forward	21	1-7	0-4	0-2	1	0	0	0	2
David Douglas Jr.	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ryan Wade	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Edwards	G	34	8-15	1-4	2-2	8	1	2	4	19
Isaiah Stafford	G	34	5-16	2-6	6-7	3	1	0	0	18
Cooper Schwieger	F	33	2-7	1-2	3-4	1	1	2	1	8
Ola Ajiboye	F	19	2-2	0-0	1-2	9	1	0	4	5
Jahari Williamson	G	13	1-5	0-2	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Jerome Palm	F	23	1-3	0-1	2-4	8	0	0	0	4
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	13	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	31	0-5	0-1	1-2	0	5	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

88.6Offensive Efficiency96.1

96.1Defensive Efficiency88.6

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

44.3%Effective FG%39.7%

44.5%True Shooting %45.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate7.6%

18.0%Free Throw Rate43.1%

29.5%3-Point Rate31.0%

0.45Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.