Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Colorado State

57.9%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -138

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 80

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricNorthern Colorado

55.4MMH Power Index53.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency116.0

109.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

7.2Net Efficiency8.4

0.4Strength of Schedule-4.3

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

64.7Tempo71.1

58.6%Effective FG%56.9%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

41.2%Free Throw Rate27.8%

4.6Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–53.7), offensive efficiency (117.1–116.0), strength of schedule (0.4–-4.3), shooting efficiency (58.6–56.9).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–109.9), net efficiency (8.4–7.2), recent form (10.8–4.3).

Final

Colorado State

83—64

Northern Colorado

Colorado State by 19 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

29-61FG24-65

48.0%FG%37.0%

10-263PT7-27

38.0%3PT%26.0%

15-20FT9-18

75.0%FT%50.0%

44Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists10

10Turnovers10

4Steals3

4Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	34	8-15	4-5	4-4	4	4	2	0	24
Joel Scott	Forward	31	6-10	1-4	7-12	6	3	1	2	20
Nique Clifford	Guard	35	4-8	3-5	0-0	14	1	0	1	11
Patrick Cartier	Forward	24	3-9	0-2	2-2	3	3	0	1	8
Joe Palmer	Guard	15	3-4	2-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	8
Jalen Lake	Guard	25	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	10	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Josiah Strong	Guard	20	1-6	0-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dejour Reaves	G	35	7-19	3-10	3-5	6	2	0	1	20
Brock Wisne	F	26	6-11	1-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	15
Saint Thomas	Forward	36	5-13	0-6	1-3	15	3	2	0	11
Langston Reynolds	G	21	2-6	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Zach Bloch	G	24	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	17	1-4	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Marcell McCreary	G	16	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Juju Ramirez	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	1-4	1	0	0	0	3
Theo Hughes	Center	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	1
Connor Creech	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

114.3Offensive Efficiency88.2

88.2Defensive Efficiency114.3

26.2Net Efficiency-26.2

55.7%Effective FG%42.3%

58.9%True Shooting %43.5%

13.8%Turnover Rate13.8%

32.8%Free Throw Rate27.7%

42.6%3-Point Rate41.5%

1.60Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.