App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%App State

46.9%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -113

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreOregon State 70

Team Comparison

App StateMetricOregon State

54.2MMH Power Index48.5

110.9Offensive Efficiency105.8

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

9.2Net Efficiency-4.5

-4.2Strength of Schedule4.5

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

64.9Tempo67.2

51.1%Effective FG%50.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.7%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

39.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

6.0Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–48.5), offensive efficiency (110.9–105.8), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.3), net efficiency (9.2–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.5–-4.2), free throw rate (43.9–39.8).

Final

App State

71—81

Oregon State

Oregon State by 10 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATOregon State

26-63FG26-64

41.0%FG%41.0%

9-273PT13-34

33.0%3PT%38.0%

10-17FT16-21

59.0%FT%76.0%

41Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists14

13Turnovers11

3Steals8

8Blocks3

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terence Harcum	Guard	38	4-14	3-11	7-9	4	0	1	0	18
Donovan Gregory	Forward	36	8-12	1-1	0-0	8	4	0	0	17
Justin Abson	F	38	5-13	0-1	2-5	10	0	0	6	12
Christopher Mantis	Forward	30	4-9	4-8	0-1	3	4	2	0	12
CJ Huntley	Forward	37	3-9	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	1	7
Tre'Von Spillers	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	4
Xavion Brown	Guard	26	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	3	0	0	1
Myles Tate	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pope	G	41	9-13	6-8	1-1	7	5	0	0	25
Tyler Bilodeau	F	39	6-15	1-5	3-4	9	3	1	0	16
Dexter Akanno	Guard	40	3-12	2-8	5-6	7	4	2	0	13
KC Ibekwe	C	18	4-6	0-0	2-4	8	0	1	2	10
Christian Wright	Guard	29	1-6	1-6	5-6	2	0	2	0	8
Thomas Ndong	F	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Josiah Lake II	G	11	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
DaJohn Craig	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Chol Marial	Center	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Gavin Marrs	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Justin Rochelin	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

97.1Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency97.1

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

48.4%Effective FG%50.8%

49.9%True Shooting %54.7%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

27.0%Free Throw Rate32.8%

42.9%3-Point Rate53.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.