Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.8%Eastern Illinois

89.2%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL139.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -826

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 63

Projected Total139.9

Projected ScoreIllinois State 77

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricIllinois State

39.9MMH Power Index54.3

99.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

104.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

-4.8Net Efficiency9.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule1.0

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

67.4Tempo67.5

47.5%Effective FG%54.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

33.7%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-3.2Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–39.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–99.6), defensive efficiency (101.4–104.4), net efficiency (9.2–-4.8).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (29.3–28.3), free throw rate (33.7–32.0).

Final

Eastern Illinois

61—69

Illinois State

Illinois State by 8 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATIllinois State

22-57FG23-56

39.0%FG%41.0%

6-203PT6-19

30.0%3PT%32.0%

11-13FT17-26

85.0%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists11

12Turnovers7

3Steals5

5Blocks2

23Fouls14

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nakyel Shelton	G	33	8-17	2-7	4-5	5	0	0	0	22
Dan Luers	Guard	19	4-6	2-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	12
Jaylin Gibson	Guard	28	4-7	1-2	0-0	4	3	0	0	9
Kooper Jacobi	F	27	2-6	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Sincere Malone	F	23	2-4	0-1	1-2	3	3	2	1	5
Jermaine Hamlin	Forward	23	1-8	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	2	4
Kyndall Davis	G	12	1-6	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Caleb Donaldson	Guard	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Griffin	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Banks	Guard	31	2-9	0-2	8-10	2	3	0	0	12
Luke Kasubke	Guard	23	4-5	4-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	12
Myles Foster	Forward	27	5-8	0-0	1-4	9	1	1	1	11
Johnny Kinziger	G	19	5-6	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	11
Kendall Lewis	Forward	33	2-6	0-2	5-7	12	4	0	0	9
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	23	3-6	1-4	2-2	5	0	2	0	9
Brandon Lieb	F	13	2-5	0-1	0-1	4	1	1	1	4
Harouna Sissoko	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Darius Burford	Guard	19	0-6	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordan Davis	Guard	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ty Pence	G	3	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

99.5Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency99.5

-13.1Net Efficiency13.1

43.9%Effective FG%46.4%

48.3%True Shooting %50.5%

19.3%Turnover Rate11.6%

22.8%Free Throw Rate46.4%

35.1%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.