Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%Northwestern State

46.9%Maine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMaine -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL131.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -113

Maine

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 65

Projected Total131.2

Projected ScoreMaine 66

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricMaine

41.3MMH Power Index35.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency95.6

109.0Defensive Efficiency104.6

-5.0Net Efficiency-9.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.8

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.8

63.6Tempo65.4

49.5%Effective FG%50.5%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.0%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %19.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate38.5%

-3.2Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–35.6), offensive efficiency (104.0–95.6), net efficiency (-5.0–-9.0), strength of schedule (-1.6–-1.8).

Maine COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.6–109.0), shooting efficiency (50.5–49.5).

Final

Northwestern State

65—78

Maine

Maine by 13 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATMaine

24-58FG27-52

41.0%FG%52.0%

7-193PT8-20

37.0%3PT%40.0%

10-17FT16-20

59.0%FT%80.0%

33Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists13

17Turnovers12

7Steals10

1Blocks4

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamison Epps	Guard	30	7-15	1-3	1-1	8	1	0	0	16
Cliff Davis	G	28	5-11	4-8	0-0	6	2	1	0	14
Ryan Forrest	Guard	23	2-8	1-2	3-5	2	2	1	1	8
Justin Wilson	Forward	15	3-3	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	8
Chase Forte	G	36	3-7	0-2	0-2	4	3	1	0	6
Braelon Bush	G	33	1-4	1-2	3-4	1	2	3	0	6
JT Warren	Forward	9	1-6	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Duane Posey	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Jimel Lane	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Maine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Lopez	G	23	6-10	2-5	5-5	1	3	2	1	19
Kellen Tynes	Guard	37	4-8	0-1	6-8	2	6	1	0	14
Ja'Shonte Wright-McLeish	Guard	30	5-7	4-6	0-1	3	0	1	0	14
Peter Filipovity	Forward	23	5-6	1-1	0-0	9	2	1	0	11
Kristians Feierbergs	Forward	22	3-5	0-2	2-2	8	0	1	0	8
Jaden Clayton	G	32	2-11	1-4	2-2	1	1	2	1	7
Quion Burns	Guard	12	2-4	0-1	1-2	1	0	2	0	5
Adam Cisse	Forward	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	2	0
Logan Carey	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

96.6Offensive Efficiency115.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency96.6

-19.3Net Efficiency19.3

47.4%Effective FG%59.6%

49.2%True Shooting %63.4%

24.6%Turnover Rate18.3%

29.3%Free Throw Rate38.5%

32.8%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Maine won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.