Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%Dayton

46.9%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -113

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 77

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreLSU 77

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricLSU

59.9MMH Power Index54.2

108.5Offensive Efficiency115.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency111.3

7.0Net Efficiency4.2

5.7Strength of Schedule4.5

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

68.3Tempo70.5

52.0%Effective FG%53.4%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

47.6%Free Throw Rate41.9%

4.8Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–54.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–111.3), net efficiency (7.0–4.2), strength of schedule (5.7–4.5).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.5–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.4–52.0), ball security (15.6–16.9).

Final

Dayton

70—67

LSU

Dayton by 3 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATLSU

22-56FG26-49

39.0%FG%53.0%

11-343PT7-16

32.0%3PT%44.0%

15-22FT8-12

68.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds4

12Assists13

11Turnovers15

9Steals8

2Blocks4

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	34	6-9	3-6	4-6	9	0	3	0	19
Javon Bennett	G	35	5-15	4-13	2-2	2	3	1	0	16
Koby Brea	Guard	27	4-8	3-7	2-2	1	2	0	0	13
DaRon Holmes II	Center	28	2-9	0-2	4-6	4	2	0	0	8
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	31	2-6	1-3	1-4	10	0	2	2	6
Kobe Elvis	Guard	25	2-8	0-3	2-2	2	5	2	0	6
Isaac Jack	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Petras Padegimas	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Reed	F	25	7-9	1-1	1-1	1	2	0	1	16
Tyrell Ward	G	21	3-4	3-3	3-4	2	1	1	0	12
Will Baker	Forward	32	4-9	2-6	0-0	8	2	1	3	10
Carlos Stewart Jr.	Guard	25	4-9	0-3	0-0	7	2	1	0	8
Mike Williams III	G	15	3-4	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Trae Hannibal	Guard	25	2-4	0-0	2-4	0	1	1	0	6
Jordan Wright	Guard	28	1-7	0-1	2-3	5	3	3	0	4
Derek Fountain	Forward	20	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Hunter Dean	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Daimion Collins	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

108.4Offensive Efficiency103.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency108.4

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

49.1%Effective FG%60.2%

52.7%True Shooting %61.2%

17.3%Turnover Rate22.8%

39.3%Free Throw Rate24.5%

60.7%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.09Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

Dayton won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.