NJIT

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%NJIT

83.1%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -492

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNJIT 66

Projected Total143.5

Projected ScoreAmerican University 78

Team Comparison

NJITMetricAmerican University

38.5MMH Power Index48.2

98.1Offensive Efficiency110.6

107.2Defensive Efficiency105.8

-9.1Net Efficiency4.8

-0.5Strength of Schedule-4.3

-5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.3Tempo67.5

47.0%Effective FG%52.6%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

34.0%Free Throw Rate30.1%

-6.2Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–38.5), offensive efficiency (110.6–98.1), defensive efficiency (105.8–107.2), net efficiency (4.8–-9.1).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-4.3), free throw rate (34.0–30.1).

Final

NJIT

73—87

American University

American University by 14 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NJITTEAM STATAmerican University

30-58FG29-60

52.0%FG%48.0%

5-173PT13-31

29.0%3PT%42.0%

8-10FT16-21

80.0%FT%76.0%

25Rebounds36

3Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists21

10Turnovers10

7Steals5

2Blocks3

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mekhi Gray	G	38	7-14	2-5	2-4	6	2	1	1	18
Sebastian Robinson	G	29	7-12	1-2	2-2	0	6	1	0	17
Tariq Francis	G	19	5-9	1-3	2-2	1	2	3	0	13
Levi Lawal	F	23	5-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	10
Adam Hess	Guard	37	3-10	0-3	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Jake Goldberg	Guard	30	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Daniel Schreier	Forward	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Justin Anderson	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeffrey Akintolu	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Hester	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	28	12-18	2-3	2-3	11	1	2	3	28
Elijah Stephens	Guard	28	3-6	2-2	3-4	2	8	1	0	11
Colin Smalls	Guard	26	4-10	2-7	1-2	2	0	0	0	11
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	24	3-8	2-6	2-2	3	4	2	0	10
Geoff Sprouse	G	18	2-7	2-6	4-4	1	1	0	0	10
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	12	2-2	0-0	4-6	3	1	0	0	8
Matt Mayock	F	25	2-5	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Lincoln Ball	Guard	32	1-4	1-2	0-0	8	6	0	0	3
Greg Jones	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

104.4Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency104.4

-20.0Net Efficiency20.0

56.0%Effective FG%59.2%

58.2%True Shooting %62.2%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.3%

17.2%Free Throw Rate35.0%

29.3%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.10Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

American University won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.