Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Cal State Fullerton

79.7%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL166.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -393

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 79

Projected Total166.9

Projected ScoreUCF 88

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUCF

49.4MMH Power Index57.1

108.8Offensive Efficiency113.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency110.0

1.7Net Efficiency3.3

-1.2Strength of Schedule6.6

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

76.3Tempo71.2

52.6%Effective FG%53.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate31.1%

1.3Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–49.4), offensive efficiency (113.3–108.8), net efficiency (3.3–1.7), strength of schedule (6.6–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–110.0), recent form (2.7–-3.8), ball security (15.1–16.0).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

44—72

UCF

UCF by 28 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUCF

12-51FG27-58

24.0%FG%47.0%

3-193PT9-21

16.0%3PT%43.0%

17-21FT9-18

81.0%FT%50.0%

35Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists15

15Turnovers10

6Steals7

1Blocks8

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Grayson Carper	Guard	28	3-7	3-6	4-4	3	0	0	1	13
Vincent Lee	Forward	22	5-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
DJ Brewton	Guard	28	3-10	0-1	2-2	2	4	0	0	8
Max Jones	Guard	29	0-12	0-5	6-9	4	2	3	0	6
Donovan Oday	G	18	1-6	0-2	3-4	6	0	1	0	5
Beril Kabamba	Forward	17	0-3	0-2	2-2	6	0	1	0	2
John Mikey Square	Not Available	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Jalen Cooper	F	15	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Kendrick De Luna	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Keith Richard	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Antwan Robinson	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	30	7-12	1-2	0-1	5	5	0	0	15
Shemarri Allen	Guard	29	3-9	2-5	1-2	3	2	4	1	9
Thierno Sylla	C	18	3-5	2-3	1-3	7	2	0	1	9
Marchelus Avery	Forward	14	4-8	1-3	0-2	4	1	0	1	9
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	23	4-7	0-0	0-0	8	1	1	5	8
Tyler Hendricks	G	10	2-4	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Comeh Emuobor	F	4	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Omar Payne	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	2-4	3	0	1	0	4
Nils Machowski	G	13	1-3	1-2	1-2	3	1	0	0	4
Darius Johnson	Guard	32	1-6	1-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	3
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Charlie May	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michael Kalina	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Poohpha Warakulnukroh	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

64.9Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency64.9

-41.3Net Efficiency41.3

26.5%Effective FG%54.3%

36.1%True Shooting %54.1%

22.4%Turnover Rate14.6%

41.2%Free Throw Rate31.0%

37.3%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.40Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

UCF won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.