Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.1%Chicago State

92.9%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -18.4

PROJECTED TOTAL142.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -1308

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 62

Projected Total142.5

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 80

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricSouthern Illinois

36.1MMH Power Index54.6

99.4Offensive Efficiency103.4

114.9Defensive Efficiency98.5

-15.5Net Efficiency4.9

0.5Strength of Schedule1.6

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

66.2Tempo70.6

45.6%Effective FG%49.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate32.3%

-10.3Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–36.1), offensive efficiency (103.4–99.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–114.9), net efficiency (4.9–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.8–17.0).

Final

Chicago State

55—71

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 16 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

20-48FG22-50

42.0%FG%44.0%

2-93PT7-23

22.0%3PT%30.0%

13-17FT20-26

76.0%FT%77.0%

26Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds12

3Assists13

14Turnovers14

11Steals9

2Blocks4

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	36	4-7	0-0	7-9	6	0	0	0	15
Jahsean Corbett	Guard	37	4-8	0-1	5-7	8	0	0	0	13
Brent Davis	Guard	33	5-8	0-2	1-1	1	1	3	0	11
Kedrick Green	Guard	25	3-7	1-2	0-0	2	0	2	0	7
Noble Crawford	Forward	18	3-6	1-2	0-0	3	0	3	1	7
Deshawn Jean-Charles	G	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0	2
A.J. Neal Jr.	G	14	0-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Greg Spate	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tristan Arneaud	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Ferguson	Guard	29	7-11	1-3	5-9	2	0	1	0	20
Xavier Johnson	Guard	31	4-9	0-4	10-10	5	7	4	1	18
Trent Brown	Guard	32	4-10	4-9	0-0	3	4	2	0	12
Troy D'Amico	Forward	33	3-7	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Jovan Stulic	Guard	14	2-6	0-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
Clarence Rupert	Forward	26	2-3	0-0	0-0	11	0	0	1	4
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	12	0-1	0-1	2-3	3	1	0	1	2
Scottie Ebube	C	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1
Trey Miller	G	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
R.J. McGee	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

86.9Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency86.9

-25.3Net Efficiency25.3

43.8%Effective FG%51.0%

49.0%True Shooting %56.9%

22.6%Turnover Rate21.8%

35.4%Free Throw Rate52.0%

18.8%3-Point Rate46.0%

0.21Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.