North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.2%North Dakota State

26.8%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -273

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 79

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreMontana 74

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricMontana

59MMH Power Index45.4

115.4Offensive Efficiency108.6

100.8Defensive Efficiency104.8

14.6Net Efficiency3.8

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.4

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

69.6Tempo71.2

54.5%Effective FG%56.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate19.2%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

31.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

10.1Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–45.4), offensive efficiency (115.4–108.6), defensive efficiency (100.8–104.8), net efficiency (14.6–3.8).

Montana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-4.6), shooting efficiency (56.3–54.5), free throw rate (37.7–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

78—69

Montana

North Dakota State by 9 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATMontana

25-54FG27-63

46.0%FG%43.0%

9-233PT3-14

39.0%3PT%21.0%

19-23FT12-17

83.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists15

5Turnovers7

6Steals1

2Blocks3

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	40	6-11	2-3	8-8	3	2	0	0	22
Boden Skunberg	G	33	5-9	0-2	6-7	6	4	1	0	16
Tajavis Miller	G	33	4-8	4-6	0-0	7	1	2	1	12
Jacari White	G	37	4-13	1-6	2-2	4	1	1	0	11
Andrew Morgan	Forward	22	3-7	1-2	1-2	0	1	1	1	8
Darik Dissette	Guard	8	1-1	0-0	2-3	3	1	0	0	4
Jeremiah Burke	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Noah Feddersen	C	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Joshua Streit	Forward	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	0
Lance Waddles	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aanen Moody	Guard	34	7-16	0-5	4-5	5	1	0	0	18
Money Williams	G	18	5-9	0-1	5-6	4	1	0	0	15
Laolu Oke	Forward	25	5-9	0-0	1-3	11	1	0	1	11
Dischon Thomas	Forward	28	3-6	1-3	0-1	5	1	0	1	7
Giordan Williams	Guard	17	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	11	2-7	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Brandon Whitney	Guard	27	1-3	0-0	1-1	3	5	0	1	3
Josh Vazquez	Guard	18	1-5	0-1	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
Chase Henderson	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Blake Jones	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jaxon Nap	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

119.1Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency119.1

13.7Net Efficiency-13.7

54.6%Effective FG%45.2%

60.1%True Shooting %48.5%

7.8%Turnover Rate10.4%

42.6%Free Throw Rate27.0%

42.6%3-Point Rate22.2%

2.60Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.