North Texas

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%North Texas

67.5%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -208

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Texas 73

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreLSU 78

Team Comparison

North TexasMetricLSU

52.2MMH Power Index54.2

104.1Offensive Efficiency115.5

99.1Defensive Efficiency111.3

5.0Net Efficiency4.2

-1.3Strength of Schedule4.5

4.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

68.1Tempo70.5

47.6%Effective FG%53.4%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

41.1%Free Throw Rate41.9%

3.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–104.1), strength of schedule (4.5–-1.3), shooting efficiency (53.4–47.6).

North Texas COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–111.3), net efficiency (5.0–4.2), recent form (4.8–-12.8).

Final

North Texas

62—66

LSU

LSU by 4 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North TexasTEAM STATLSU

19-60FG24-48

32.0%FG%50.0%

12-323PT4-13

38.0%3PT%31.0%

12-12FT14-18

100.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists10

12Turnovers13

4Steals8

3Blocks1

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

North Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Edwards	G	32	5-13	4-10	8-8	0	1	0	0	22
Rubin Jones	Guard	38	5-16	3-6	2-2	7	3	2	0	15
John Buggs III	Guard	36	5-11	4-8	0-0	3	1	0	0	14
Aaron Scott	Guard	34	2-12	0-4	0-0	5	1	2	1	4
Robert Allen	Forward	23	1-2	0-0	2-2	9	2	0	1	4
CJ Noland	Guard	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Moulaye Sissoko	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Matthew Stone	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Baker	Forward	34	7-14	0-1	2-2	6	1	1	0	16
Derek Fountain	Forward	24	6-6	1-1	1-3	7	0	0	1	14
Jordan Wright	Guard	24	3-7	2-3	4-5	6	2	1	0	12
Mike Williams III	G	25	1-3	0-2	4-4	2	3	2	0	6
Tyrell Ward	G	21	2-7	0-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	6
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Trae Hannibal	Guard	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Jalen Reed	F	16	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
Carlos Stewart Jr.	Guard	24	0-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Hunter Dean	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

98.1Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency98.1

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

41.7%Effective FG%54.2%

47.2%True Shooting %58.4%

18.8%Turnover Rate20.8%

20.0%Free Throw Rate37.5%

53.3%3-Point Rate27.1%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

LSU won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.