Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%Northern Illinois

83.1%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia State -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia State -492

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 68

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 79

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricGeorgia State

29.2MMH Power Index38.9

99.7Offensive Efficiency101.3

111.6Defensive Efficiency107.5

-11.9Net Efficiency-6.2

-2.1Strength of Schedule-1.7

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

69.7Tempo69.5

48.5%Effective FG%45.3%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.4%

-8.3Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.9–29.2), offensive efficiency (101.3–99.7), defensive efficiency (107.5–111.6), net efficiency (-6.2–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (48.5–45.3), offensive rebounding (31.7–28.2), free throw rate (39.6–37.4).

Final

Northern Illinois

70—64

Georgia State

Northern Illinois by 6 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATGeorgia State

26-57FG23-76

46.0%FG%30.0%

4-203PT4-18

20.0%3PT%22.0%

14-24FT14-18

58.0%FT%78.0%

45Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds18

12Assists14

11Turnovers6

4Steals5

12Blocks1

18Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zarique Nutter	F	27	9-12	1-2	3-3	6	1	0	1	22
David Coit	G	39	8-21	2-10	2-3	5	5	0	1	20
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	30	3-10	1-5	4-6	4	3	3	0	11
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	21	3-3	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	0	7
Zion Russell	G	11	0-1	0-0	4-8	1	1	0	0	4
Xavier Amos	F	34	1-6	0-2	0-1	8	2	0	5	2
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	3	2
Ethan Butler	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Will Lovings-Watts	G	14	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	1	2	0
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brenden Tucker	Guard	23	6-11	2-4	2-2	4	2	1	0	16
Lucas Taylor	Guard	33	4-16	1-7	3-4	4	2	0	0	12
Jamaine Mann	Guard	15	4-9	0-1	1-1	3	0	0	0	9
Dwon Odom	Guard	22	4-9	0-0	0-0	1	5	0	1	8
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	29	2-8	0-1	2-3	12	0	1	0	6
Ed Nnamoko	F	16	0-2	0-0	4-6	4	0	0	0	4
Toneari Lane	G	22	1-11	1-4	0-0	0	2	2	0	3
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	20	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Rickey Bradley Jr.	G	13	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	2
Julian Mackey	G	7	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

97.2Offensive Efficiency88.9

88.9Defensive Efficiency97.2

8.3Net Efficiency-8.3

49.1%Effective FG%32.9%

51.2%True Shooting %37.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate8.3%

42.1%Free Throw Rate23.7%

35.1%3-Point Rate23.7%

1.09Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.