St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%St. John's

34.3%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -192

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 76

Projected Total148.1

Projected ScoreDayton 72

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricDayton

70.3MMH Power Index59.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

97.6Defensive Efficiency101.5

16.8Net Efficiency7.0

5.5Strength of Schedule5.7

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.9Tempo68.3

51.3%Effective FG%52.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

41.1%Free Throw Rate47.6%

11.9Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–59.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–108.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.5), net efficiency (16.8–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–5.5), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.3), free throw rate (47.6–41.1).

Final

St. John's

81—88

Dayton

Dayton by 7 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATDayton

30-62FG29-56

48.0%FG%52.0%

7-183PT7-17

39.0%3PT%41.0%

14-18FT23-28

78.0%FT%82.0%

36Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists12

14Turnovers11

4Steals8

1Blocks3

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Soriano	Center	29	8-13	1-1	4-5	9	0	0	0	21
Jordan Dingle	Guard	26	5-10	1-2	3-5	2	1	2	0	14
Daniss Jenkins	Guard	37	5-13	2-8	0-0	3	8	1	0	12
Glenn Taylor Jr.	Forward	31	4-8	1-2	2-2	6	3	0	0	11
Chris Ledlum	Guard	35	2-10	1-3	4-4	9	1	1	0	9
Zuby Ejiofor	F	11	4-5	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	1	9
Nahiem Alleyne	Guard	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Simeon Wilcher	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Drissa Traore	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brady Dunlap	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	29	6-14	1-2	8-9	5	1	1	2	21
Nate Santos	Forward	25	6-8	1-1	5-6	5	3	0	0	18
Kobe Elvis	Guard	33	3-9	2-4	2-2	3	5	1	0	10
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	31	4-8	0-2	2-3	3	2	2	0	10
Koby Brea	Guard	25	3-6	2-4	2-3	6	0	0	0	10
Javon Bennett	G	31	1-4	0-3	3-4	1	1	4	1	5
Petras Padegimas	F	11	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	4	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Isaac Jack	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

111.9Offensive Efficiency121.5

121.5Defensive Efficiency111.9

-9.7Net Efficiency9.7

54.0%Effective FG%58.0%

57.4%True Shooting %63.5%

19.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.0%Free Throw Rate50.0%

29.0%3-Point Rate30.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Dayton won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.