Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Providence

43.0%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL171.1

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -133

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 86

Projected Total171.1

Projected ScoreKansas State 85

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricKansas State

54.2MMH Power Index47.1

115.0Offensive Efficiency107.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency110.9

1.8Net Efficiency-3.1

4.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

74.2Tempo73.8

55.0%Effective FG%53.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate27.4%

1.3Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–47.1), offensive efficiency (115.0–107.8), net efficiency (1.8–-3.1), recent form (-1.3–-14.3).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.9–113.2), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Final

Providence

70—73

Kansas State

Kansas State by 3 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATKansas State

24-68FG21-57

35.0%FG%37.0%

5-223PT8-22

23.0%3PT%36.0%

17-24FT23-27

71.0%FT%85.0%

44Rebounds39

18Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists11

15Turnovers20

5Steals7

8Blocks4

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	40	6-16	1-6	4-6	7	2	3	2	17
Bryce Hopkins	F	42	3-16	0-4	8-11	11	2	0	1	14
Ticket Gaines	Guard	42	3-8	2-7	2-2	5	0	0	1	10
Josh Oduro	Forward	22	4-9	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	10
Garwey Dual	G	29	3-9	0-2	1-1	3	3	1	3	7
Rafael Castro	F	20	3-4	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	7
Jayden Pierre	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	24	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Rich Barron	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylor Perry	Guard	41	4-11	2-7	14-14	4	3	1	0	24
Arthur Kaluma	Forward	35	6-10	3-4	3-5	7	2	1	1	18
Dai Dai Ames	G	36	2-12	1-4	5-6	3	4	0	0	10
Will McNair Jr.	Forward	30	4-7	1-1	1-2	4	1	0	2	10
David N'Guessan	Guard	29	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Cam Carter	Guard	44	2-11	1-6	0-0	8	1	4	1	5
RJ Jones	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jerrell Colbert	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

90.2Offensive Efficiency94.1

94.1Defensive Efficiency90.2

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

39.0%Effective FG%43.9%

44.1%True Shooting %52.3%

19.6%Turnover Rate25.4%

35.3%Free Throw Rate47.4%

32.4%3-Point Rate38.6%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.