William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.9%William & Mary

5.1%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWilliam & Mary -19.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWilliam & Mary -1861

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 86

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreAir Force 67

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricAir Force

53.8MMH Power Index23

112.5Offensive Efficiency91.3

105.2Defensive Efficiency118.5

7.3Net Efficiency-27.2

-1.5Strength of Schedule6.2

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

73.9Tempo67.4

55.3%Effective FG%49.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate21.9%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

45.3%Free Throw Rate35.9%

5.4Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

William & Mary HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWilliam & Mary holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–23.0), offensive efficiency (112.5–91.3), defensive efficiency (105.2–118.5), net efficiency (7.3–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-1.5).

Final

William & Mary

71—80

Air Force

Air Force by 9 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATAir Force

27-65FG25-50

42.0%FG%50.0%

9-283PT12-24

32.0%3PT%50.0%

8-13FT18-21

62.0%FT%86.0%

37Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds3

7Assists14

9Turnovers10

2Steals6

—Blocks6

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trey Moss	G	39	8-20	4-8	0-2	7	4	0	20
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	35	4-11	4-10	0-0	4	0	0	12
Jack Karasinski	F	34	4-6	0-0	3-3	7	1	0	11
Chase Lowe	G	13	4-5	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	10
Sean Houpt	Guard	35	2-11	1-8	2-2	2	0	0	7
Noah Collier	F	26	3-7	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	6
Charlie Williams	C	19	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	4
Jayden Lemond	G	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0
Tai Hamilton	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Beau Becker	Forward	35	12-18	5-9	2-2	5	2	0	1	31
Ethan Taylor	Guard	44	8-18	6-12	2-2	6	2	1	1	24
Kellan Boylan	F	42	2-3	0-1	4-5	10	2	3	3	8
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	37	2-7	1-2	3-4	1	0	1	0	8
Byron Brown	Guard	27	0-0	0-0	4-4	1	2	0	0	4
Chase Beasley	Guard	22	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	5	1	1	2
Kolby Gilles	F	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Corbin Green	F	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

105.0Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency105.0

-13.3Net Efficiency13.3

48.5%Effective FG%62.0%

49.9%True Shooting %66.7%

13.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

20.0%Free Throw Rate42.0%

43.1%3-Point Rate48.0%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Air Force won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.