Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%Morehead State

48.8%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -105

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 77

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScorePenn State 77

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricPenn State

47.3MMH Power Index42.3

110.8Offensive Efficiency109.2

110.0Defensive Efficiency117.6

0.8Net Efficiency-8.4

-4.0Strength of Schedule5.3

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

67.9Tempo67.5

51.3%Effective FG%53.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

0.5Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–42.3), offensive efficiency (110.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (110.0–117.6), net efficiency (0.8–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–-4.0), shooting efficiency (53.4–51.3), ball security (15.6–17.3).

Final

Morehead State

51—74

Penn State

Penn State by 23 • 76.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATPenn State

16-42FG19-64

38.0%FG%30.0%

4-183PT6-25

22.0%3PT%24.0%

15-24FT30-38

63.0%FT%79.0%

42Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists10

29Turnovers8

3Steals14

4Blocks3

27Fouls20

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kalil Thomas	Guard	36	5-9	3-6	1-2	11	0	1	0	14
Eddie Ricks III	F	29	1-5	0-2	8-10	6	1	0	0	10
Drew Thelwell	Guard	34	2-6	1-5	2-2	1	3	1	0	7
Riley Minix	Forward	23	3-10	0-3	1-2	6	1	0	1	7
Trent Scott	Guard	21	2-5	0-1	1-4	3	0	1	1	5
Dieonte Miles	Forward	25	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	4
George Marshall	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Zach Iyeyemi	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	0	2
Jordan Lathon	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jerone Morton	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kanye Clary	G	27	3-14	0-2	8-9	4	2	2	0	14
Qudus Wahab	Forward	24	2-5	0-0	10-13	12	1	0	1	14
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	31	4-13	1-5	3-5	5	4	2	0	12
Jameel Brown	G	11	3-7	3-6	0-0	0	0	2	0	9
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	7-9	2	0	3	0	7
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	23	2-6	0-0	0-0	5	2	2	0	4
Puff Johnson	G	16	1-4	0-2	2-2	0	0	1	1	4
Zach Hicks	Forward	21	1-6	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	2	1	3
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Demetrius Lilley	C	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Bragi Gudmundsson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dan Conlan	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andy Christos	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.3Possessions76.3

66.8Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency66.8

-30.1Net Efficiency30.1

42.9%Effective FG%34.4%

47.8%True Shooting %45.1%

38.0%Turnover Rate10.5%

57.1%Free Throw Rate59.4%

42.9%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.24Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Penn State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 76.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.