Charleston Southern

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.9%Charleston Southern

87.1%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL166.5

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -675

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCharleston Southern 77

Projected Total166.5

Projected ScoreNC State 89

Team Comparison

Charleston SouthernMetricNC State

47.5MMH Power Index60.1

110.1Offensive Efficiency118.4

105.7Defensive Efficiency108.6

4.4Net Efficiency9.8

-3.5Strength of Schedule6.4

-2.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

75.8Tempo70.2

55.3%Effective FG%55.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

30.8%Free Throw Rate35.7%

3.3Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–47.5), offensive efficiency (118.4–110.1), net efficiency (9.8–4.4), strength of schedule (6.4–-3.5).

Charleston Southern COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–108.6), recent form (-2.8–-11.9), shooting efficiency (55.3–55.1).

Final

Charleston Southern

53—87

NC State

NC State by 34 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Charleston SouthernTEAM STATNC State

19-48FG32-63

40.0%FG%51.0%

6-183PT5-17

33.0%3PT%29.0%

9-11FT18-23

82.0%FT%78.0%

29Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists14

22Turnovers6

2Steals11

5Blocks3

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Charleston Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Johnson	G	32	4-10	0-2	4-4	2	3	1	1	12
Taje' Kelly	Forward	29	4-13	0-2	4-5	1	1	0	1	12
Lou Hutchinson III	G	27	4-6	3-5	0-0	7	0	0	1	11
A'lahn Sumler	G	16	3-5	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	7
DJ Patrick	G	30	2-7	1-4	1-2	5	2	0	0	6
Reginald Duhart Jr.	Forward	25	2-3	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Kalib Clinton	Forward	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Nobal Days	Forward	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Amarion Savage	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gaddis Heath III	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Horne	Guard	31	7-13	1-3	3-4	6	3	3	0	18
DJ Burns	Forward	25	6-8	0-0	4-4	1	1	0	1	16
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	19	4-6	1-2	3-4	4	2	4	0	12
Casey Morsell	Guard	27	4-9	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	10
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	16	3-5	0-2	3-4	3	0	0	0	9
Jayden Taylor	Guard	20	3-9	1-2	1-2	2	4	2	0	8
Michael O'Connell	Guard	18	2-4	0-2	2-2	5	3	1	0	6
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	14	2-5	0-2	2-3	5	0	0	1	6
Ernest Ross	Forward	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
LJ Thomas	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Breon Pass	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
KJ Keatts	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Snell	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

77.8Offensive Efficiency127.8

127.8Defensive Efficiency77.8

-49.9Net Efficiency49.9

45.8%Effective FG%54.8%

49.8%True Shooting %58.8%

32.2%Turnover Rate8.8%

22.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

37.5%3-Point Rate27.0%

0.45Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

NC State won by 34 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.