Harvard

17-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Harvard

59.5%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMassachusetts -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMassachusetts -147

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHarvard 73

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 76

Team Comparison

HarvardMetricMassachusetts

52.6MMH Power Index51.5

108.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

102.9Defensive Efficiency106.7

5.2Net Efficiency3.6

-0.1Strength of Schedule0.9

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

64.8Tempo72.8

53.4%Effective FG%53.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.9%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

27.9%Free Throw Rate37.7%

3.4Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Harvard HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHarvard holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.6–51.5), defensive efficiency (102.9–106.7), net efficiency (5.2–3.6), recent form (8.3–-4.2).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.3–108.1), strength of schedule (0.9–-0.1), offensive rebounding (33.7–26.3).

Final

Harvard

78—75

Massachusetts

Harvard by 3 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HarvardTEAM STATMassachusetts

27-61FG29-78

44.0%FG%37.0%

11-243PT7-28

46.0%3PT%25.0%

13-18FT10-25

72.0%FT%40.0%

45Rebounds48

11Offensive Rebounds23

17Assists14

16Turnovers12

6Steals10

7Blocks4

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Harvard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Mack	G	40	10-23	5-10	7-9	2	6	1	0	32
Chandler Pigge	G	42	5-8	1-2	4-4	11	3	2	0	15
Louis Lesmond	G	36	5-9	4-7	0-0	4	1	0	1	14
Chisom Okpara	F	32	3-10	0-2	2-4	7	5	1	3	8
Thomas Batties II	F	31	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
Luca Ace-Nasteski	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Justice Ajogbor	C	18	0-3	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	3	0
Denham Wojcik	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Cross	Forward	36	6-15	0-3	4-6	16	3	2	1	16
Rahsool Diggins	Guard	35	5-14	3-9	0-0	3	2	0	1	13
Josh Cohen	Forward	34	5-14	0-1	3-10	8	0	0	0	13
Jaylen Curry	G	24	4-12	1-5	0-1	4	4	3	0	9
Keon Thompson	G	30	3-7	1-3	0-0	6	3	2	0	7
Robert Davis Jr.	G	26	3-8	1-3	0-1	2	1	0	1	7
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	15	3-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	1	7
Jayden Ndjigue	G	14	0-0	0-0	3-6	2	1	1	0	3
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Tarique Foster	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

101.6Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency101.6

3.9Net Efficiency-3.9

53.3%Effective FG%41.7%

56.1%True Shooting %41.7%

21.5%Turnover Rate15.2%

29.5%Free Throw Rate32.1%

39.3%3-Point Rate35.9%

1.06Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Harvard won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.