Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.0%Cal Poly

88.0%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -733

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 75

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 90

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

46.5MMH Power Index59.8

107.2Offensive Efficiency116.8

111.0Defensive Efficiency102.2

-3.8Net Efficiency14.6

1.7Strength of Schedule-3.6

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

76.6Tempo70.0

52.2%Effective FG%59.2%

19.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

35.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-2.9Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–46.5), offensive efficiency (116.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–111.0), net efficiency (14.6–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-3.6), offensive rebounding (29.9–22.1), free throw rate (35.8–35.2).

Final

Cal Poly

61—60

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Cal Poly by 1 • 56.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

23-50FG22-44

46.0%FG%50.0%

5-133PT4-10

38.0%3PT%40.0%

10-11FT12-17

91.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds25

8Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists7

8Turnovers10

5Steals2

2Blocks1

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	38	5-14	2-3	5-5	6	1	1	1	17
Kobe Sanders	Guard	26	5-7	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	12
Jarred Hyder	Guard	37	4-7	1-3	1-2	0	1	0	0	10
Cam Malray	Forward	26	3-8	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	7
Joel Armotrading	C	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Justin Page	G	12	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Isaac Spears	Guard	11	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Paul Bizimana	Forward	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	1	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	33	9-14	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	22
Raheem Anthony	Guard	32	4-7	1-2	4-6	2	1	0	0	13
Kendall Blue	G	28	4-6	0-1	3-3	4	2	1	0	11
Drake Dobbs	Guard	33	3-7	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	7
Brooks Allen	Forward	35	1-6	0-0	1-3	2	1	0	1	3
Ryan Dufault	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Ahjany Lee	F	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Carter Bjerke	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	0
Ben Nau	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dom Martinelli	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.2Possessions56.2

108.5Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency108.5

1.8Net Efficiency-1.8

51.0%Effective FG%54.5%

55.2%True Shooting %57.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.5%

22.0%Free Throw Rate38.6%

26.0%3-Point Rate22.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 56.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.