Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Arkansas State

77.4%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -342

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 72

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreIowa 81

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricIowa

57.7MMH Power Index64.2

113.1Offensive Efficiency118.4

105.3Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.8Net Efficiency13.2

-1.0Strength of Schedule5.3

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

73.3Tempo63.0

52.7%Effective FG%56.6%

19.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.2%

5.8Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–113.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–105.3), net efficiency (13.2–7.8).

Arkansas State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (15.2–2.0), offensive rebounding (38.1–30.2), free throw rate (39.6–36.2).

Final

Arkansas State

74—88

Iowa

Iowa by 14 • 77.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATIowa

28-68FG27-58

41.0%FG%47.0%

10-243PT2-12

42.0%3PT%17.0%

8-17FT32-46

47.0%FT%70.0%

44Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists14

18Turnovers7

5Steals11

4Blocks8

30Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	33	7-18	3-4	4-7	9	7	1	1	21
Taryn Todd	Guard	34	7-17	1-4	1-3	6	2	2	0	16
Caleb Fields	Guard	19	5-6	3-3	1-1	1	3	1	0	14
Derrian Ford	G	22	4-7	2-3	1-2	7	2	1	0	11
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	32	4-14	1-5	0-0	8	1	0	1	9
Lado Laku	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	1-4	4	0	0	1	3
Zane Butler	Guard	21	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Avery Felts	Guard	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Julian Lual	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Izaiyah Nelson	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Krikke	Forward	33	10-14	0-1	5-8	9	2	4	3	25
Dasonte Bowen	G	29	4-5	0-0	9-10	2	3	3	0	17
Tony Perkins	Guard	32	4-13	0-2	3-4	6	2	2	2	11
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	30	3-8	1-3	3-5	4	2	0	0	10
Josh Dix	G	19	2-2	1-1	5-6	5	0	0	1	10
Payton Sandfort	Forward	24	2-10	0-4	3-4	8	4	0	0	7
Owen Freeman	F	9	2-4	0-0	3-7	3	0	0	2	7
Brock Harding	G	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Pryce Sandfort	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ladji Dembele	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.0Possessions77.0

96.1Offensive Efficiency114.3

114.3Defensive Efficiency96.1

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

48.5%Effective FG%48.3%

48.6%True Shooting %55.1%

23.1%Turnover Rate9.2%

25.0%Free Throw Rate79.3%

35.3%3-Point Rate20.7%

0.89Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Iowa won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 77.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.