Southern

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.7%Southern

17.3%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern -478

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern 81

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 71

Team Comparison

SouthernMetricWestern Illinois

44.5MMH Power Index25.9

108.7Offensive Efficiency96.2

106.4Defensive Efficiency113.9

2.3Net Efficiency-17.7

-7.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

73.3Tempo67.5

51.3%Effective FG%45.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

40.3%Free Throw Rate37.5%

1.7Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–25.9), offensive efficiency (108.7–96.2), defensive efficiency (106.4–113.9), net efficiency (2.3–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-7.5).

Final

Southern

80—88

Western Illinois

Western Illinois by 8 • 82.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SouthernTEAM STATWestern Illinois

32-72FG30-54

44.0%FG%56.0%

3-153PT6-17

20.0%3PT%35.0%

13-23FT22-34

57.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists13

13Turnovers21

15Steals4

—Blocks8

27Fouls17

Player Box Score

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	44	8-20	2-9	5-9	2	1	3	23
JaRonn Wilkens	Forward	30	6-12	0-2	0-0	9	1	1	12
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	35	5-14	0-0	0-1	5	7	5	10
Jordan Mitchell	Guard	27	3-6	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	7
Antoine Jacks	Guard	21	2-3	1-1	2-4	0	0	1	7
Derrick Tezeno	Forward	20	3-7	0-0	1-2	2	1	4	7
Brandon Davis	Guard	21	2-4	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	6
Brentay Noel	F	16	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	4
Delang Muon	F	7	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	4
Dre'Shawn Allen	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jordan Johnson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
James Dent Jr.	G	42	6-15	1-5	11-12	8	3	1	0	24
Ryan Myers	G	41	6-11	3-7	5-7	2	3	0	0	20
Quinlan Bennett	Guard	34	8-12	0-0	2-4	7	1	1	1	18
Drew Cisse	Center	37	5-5	0-0	2-5	9	1	2	4	12
Tay Knox	C	16	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	2	5
KJ Lee	Guard	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
De'Meiko Anderson	Guard	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jesiah West	Forward	24	1-1	0-0	0-2	8	4	0	1	2
JJ Kalakon	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Shay Davis	Guard	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.6Possessions82.6

96.9Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency96.9

-9.7Net Efficiency9.7

46.5%Effective FG%61.1%

48.2%True Shooting %62.7%

15.5%Turnover Rate25.9%

31.9%Free Throw Rate63.0%

20.8%3-Point Rate31.5%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Western Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 82.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.