UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.8%UTSA

93.2%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -18.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -1371

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 65

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreTexas State 84

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricTexas State

30.5MMH Power Index49.4

99.0Offensive Efficiency107.7

115.0Defensive Efficiency103.4

-16.0Net Efficiency4.3

-1.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.2Tempo68.6

45.9%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.4%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

29.9%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-11.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–30.5), offensive efficiency (107.7–99.0), defensive efficiency (103.4–115.0), net efficiency (4.3–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-4.7), ball security (17.0–18.4).

Final

UTSA

62—72

Texas State

Texas State by 10 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATTexas State

19-60FG21-50

32.0%FG%42.0%

8-273PT3-14

30.0%3PT%21.0%

16-22FT27-43

73.0%FT%63.0%

40Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists10

13Turnovers9

6Steals7

5Blocks4

29Fouls21

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Tucker	Guard	34	4-12	1-3	7-7	3	3	1	1	16
Dre Fuller Jr.	Guard	30	5-10	3-6	0-0	4	0	0	1	13
Chandler Cuthrell	F	27	2-9	1-3	4-5	10	1	0	0	9
Adante' Holiman	G	28	2-9	0-5	4-4	0	4	1	1	8
PJ Carter	G	19	3-6	1-3	0-1	0	0	0	0	7
Isaiah Wyatt	Guard	15	2-7	2-6	0-0	1	0	2	1	6
Nazar Mahmoud	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Massal Diouf	Forward	15	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	1
Trey Edmonds	Center	19	0-3	0-0	0-3	8	0	1	0	0
Carlton Linguard Jr.	Center	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Turner	Forward	37	4-8	1-2	10-12	5	2	0	0	19
Brandon Love	Forward	32	6-11	0-0	6-13	14	0	1	4	18
Joshua O'Garro	G	30	4-8	1-2	4-7	6	0	3	0	13
Dylan Dawson	Guard	36	2-6	0-4	5-7	2	2	1	0	9
Kaden Gumbs	G	28	3-12	0-4	0-0	6	3	1	0	6
Dontae Horne	G	16	1-4	1-2	2-4	2	2	1	0	5
Chris Nix	Forward	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Elijah Tate	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

90.5Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.1Defensive Efficiency90.5

-14.6Net Efficiency14.6

38.3%Effective FG%45.0%

44.0%True Shooting %51.1%

19.0%Turnover Rate13.2%

36.7%Free Throw Rate86.0%

45.0%3-Point Rate28.0%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Texas State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.