Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.2%Saint Mary's

33.8%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -196

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 74

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 72

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricSan Diego State

70.7MMH Power Index60.1

116.7Offensive Efficiency110.3

97.4Defensive Efficiency99.3

19.3Net Efficiency11.0

3.0Strength of Schedule3.8

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

66.3Tempo70.8

53.1%Effective FG%53.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

12.8Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–110.3), defensive efficiency (97.4–99.3), net efficiency (19.3–11.0).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.8–3.0), shooting efficiency (53.2–53.1), free throw rate (39.6–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

54—79

San Diego State

San Diego State by 25 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATSan Diego State

21-61FG29-56

34.0%FG%52.0%

6-243PT6-14

25.0%3PT%43.0%

6-14FT15-23

43.0%FT%65.0%

33Rebounds40

16Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists19

10Turnovers9

3Steals5

3Blocks7

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitchell Saxen	Center	30	7-13	0-0	2-5	8	0	1	2	16
Joshua Jefferson	F	23	5-11	0-4	2-2	5	4	1	1	12
Aidan Mahaney	G	37	3-12	2-5	0-1	1	1	0	0	8
Alex Ducas	Guard	26	2-7	2-5	1-2	4	1	0	0	7
Luke Barrett	Forward	21	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Rory Hawke	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jordan Ross	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Chris Howell	G	14	0-4	0-3	1-2	0	2	0	0	1
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	17	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mason Forbes	Forward	10	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Harry Wessels	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Bennett	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	36	10-17	1-2	4-5	8	2	2	0	25
Reese Waters	Guard	32	7-9	3-4	2-2	4	2	1	0	19
Micah Parrish	Guard	31	2-7	1-3	6-7	5	4	1	1	11
Lamont Butler	Guard	23	3-8	0-0	2-5	3	3	0	0	8
Elijah Saunders	F	24	2-3	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	4	4
Darrion Trammell	Guard	20	1-4	1-2	1-3	2	4	0	0	4
Miles Heide	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	4
Miles Byrd	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	4	1	1	2
Jay Pal	Forward	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Cade Alger	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
BJ Davis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cam Lawin	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

86.7Offensive Efficiency126.8

126.8Defensive Efficiency86.7

-40.1Net Efficiency40.1

39.3%Effective FG%57.1%

39.9%True Shooting %59.0%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.3%

23.0%Free Throw Rate41.1%

39.3%3-Point Rate25.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.