Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.4%Northern Illinois

89.6%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.0

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -862

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 67

Projected Total147.0

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 80

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricLittle Rock

29.2MMH Power Index44

99.7Offensive Efficiency103.0

111.6Defensive Efficiency108.2

-11.9Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.1Strength of Schedule0.5

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

69.7Tempo68.5

48.5%Effective FG%50.3%

21.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

39.6%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-8.3Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.7), defensive efficiency (108.2–111.6), net efficiency (-5.2–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (39.6–28.6).

Final

Northern Illinois

98—93

Little Rock

Northern Illinois by 5 • 80.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATLittle Rock

28-48FG34-75

58.0%FG%45.0%

9-163PT9-32

56.0%3PT%28.0%

33-44FT16-24

75.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds30

4Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists22

16Turnovers4

1Steals8

3Blocks3

17Fouls29

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Amos	F	30	6-9	5-6	4-8	4	0	0	1	21
David Coit	G	37	4-14	3-7	9-10	8	6	1	0	20
Philmon Gebrewhit	Guard	36	5-7	0-2	9-13	3	6	0	0	19
Zarique Nutter	F	37	6-10	0-0	4-5	7	3	0	0	16
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	15	5-5	0-0	5-6	5	0	0	1	15
Ethan Butler	F	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Zion Russell	G	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Will Lovings-Watts	G	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	24	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	36	11-20	0-3	4-5	6	3	1	1	26
KK Robinson	G	34	7-16	0-6	6-9	5	8	1	2	20
Pavle Kuzmanovic	Guard	25	5-6	5-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	15
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	22	3-8	1-4	1-2	4	2	2	0	8
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	15	2-7	1-5	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Bradley Douglas	G	27	2-8	0-3	1-2	5	7	2	0	5
Cougar Downing	G	5	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Nikola Milosevic	Forward	4	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

80.2Possessions80.2

122.2Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency122.2

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

67.7%Effective FG%51.3%

71.1%True Shooting %53.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate5.0%

91.7%Free Throw Rate32.0%

33.3%3-Point Rate42.7%

0.94Assist / Turnover5.50

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 80.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.