Presbyterian

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Presbyterian

48.0%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL139.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPresbyterian -108

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePresbyterian 70

Projected Total139.5

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 70

Team Comparison

PresbyterianMetricNorthwestern State

46.6MMH Power Index41.3

107.2Offensive Efficiency104.0

106.9Defensive Efficiency109.0

0.3Net Efficiency-5.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.6

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

67.5Tempo63.6

52.3%Effective FG%49.5%

19.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

41.1%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.2Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Presbyterian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPresbyterian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (107.2–104.0), defensive efficiency (106.9–109.0), net efficiency (0.3–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHball security (17.6–19.3), free throw rate (41.2–41.1).

Final

Presbyterian

78—75

Northwestern State

Presbyterian by 3 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PresbyterianTEAM STATNorthwestern State

27-54FG27-58

50.0%FG%47.0%

7-203PT5-20

35.0%3PT%25.0%

17-29FT16-26

59.0%FT%62.0%

38Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists10

10Turnovers8

4Steals5

5Blocks1

23Fouls25

Player Box Score

Presbyterian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marquis Barnett	Not Available	33	8-15	1-4	1-6	2	3	1	1	18
Samage Teel	Guard	30	4-10	0-2	8-8	6	4	1	0	16
Kory Mincy	G	9	5-7	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	13
Kobe Stewart	Not Available	25	4-7	1-4	2-4	8	2	0	0	11
Crosby James	Guard	21	2-7	2-5	1-1	0	3	0	0	7
Trevon Reddish-Rhone	Not Available	25	2-2	0-0	1-3	2	0	1	0	5
Kaleb Scott	Not Available	21	1-1	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	0	4
Jonah Pierce	F	19	1-3	0-0	1-3	5	2	1	3	3
Jamahri Harvey	Not Available	17	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	1	1

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Forrest	Guard	34	9-21	2-8	5-8	4	1	0	0	25
Braelon Bush	G	29	7-11	0-2	4-5	1	2	0	0	18
Cliff Davis	G	32	4-7	3-6	3-6	3	1	1	0	14
Jamison Epps	Guard	28	3-5	0-1	0-0	8	0	0	0	6
Duane Posey	G	22	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	5
Chase Forte	G	18	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	2	2	0	3
Jimel Lane	F	14	0-2	0-2	2-3	3	1	2	0	2
Justin Wilson	Forward	12	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Chris Mubiru	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
JT Warren	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

116.2Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency116.2

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

56.5%Effective FG%50.9%

57.5%True Shooting %53.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate11.9%

53.7%Free Throw Rate44.8%

37.0%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Presbyterian won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.