Gardner-Webb

4-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Gardner-Webb

95.2%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -21.6

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -1983

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGardner-Webb 67

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreColgate 88

Team Comparison

Gardner-WebbMetricColgate

26.6MMH Power Index48.8

96.0Offensive Efficiency111.7

120.4Defensive Efficiency109.0

-24.4Net Efficiency2.7

3.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

-18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

71.0Tempo68.4

48.8%Effective FG%54.5%

19.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

23.6%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

31.5%Free Throw Rate30.0%

-17.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colgate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColgate holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.8–26.6), offensive efficiency (111.7–96.0), defensive efficiency (109.0–120.4), net efficiency (2.7–-24.4).

Gardner-Webb COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.3–-2.0), free throw rate (31.5–30.0).

Final

Gardner-Webb

52—59

Colgate

Colgate by 7 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Gardner-WebbTEAM STATColgate

18-54FG21-53

33.0%FG%40.0%

6-223PT7-20

27.0%3PT%35.0%

10-12FT10-12

83.0%FT%83.0%

34Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds6

7Assists11

12Turnovers13

4Steals6

2Blocks1

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Gardner-Webb

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Robinson	Guard	28	4-11	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	1	10
Lucas Stieber	Guard	26	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	9
Quest Aldridge	Guard	17	3-5	3-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
DQ Nicholas	Guard	26	1-8	0-5	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Julien Soumaoro	G	27	1-7	1-5	1-2	2	2	1	1	4
Ademide Badmus	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	4
Cheickna Sissoko	Forward	12	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Isaiah Richards	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	4-4	4	0	1	0	4
Brendan Mykalcio	Guard	10	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Darryl Simmons II	G	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Shahar Lazar	Guard	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braeden Smith	G	30	9-16	0-3	7-8	9	6	4	0	25
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	31	4-8	4-6	0-0	6	0	0	0	12
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	25	2-7	1-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Parker Jones	G	23	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Chandler Baker	Guard	13	1-5	1-3	1-2	1	1	0	0	4
Jeff Woodward	Forward	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Keegan Records	Forward	22	0-4	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	2
Sam Thomson	Forward	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	1	2
Jalen Cox	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kyle Carlesimo	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

81.0Offensive Efficiency91.9

91.9Defensive Efficiency81.0

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

38.9%Effective FG%46.2%

43.6%True Shooting %50.3%

19.1%Turnover Rate19.8%

22.2%Free Throw Rate22.6%

40.7%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.58Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Colgate won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.