Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Cal Poly

71.5%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -251

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 76

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScorePortland State 85

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricPortland State

46.5MMH Power Index50.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency109.3

111.0Defensive Efficiency100.2

-3.8Net Efficiency9.1

1.7Strength of Schedule-5.6

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

76.6Tempo70.1

52.2%Effective FG%51.7%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

35.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-2.9Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–46.5), offensive efficiency (109.3–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.2–111.0), net efficiency (9.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-5.6), recent form (2.4–0.4), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.7).

Final

Cal Poly

57—73

Portland State

Portland State by 16 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATPortland State

22-59FG26-58

37.0%FG%45.0%

7-173PT10-24

41.0%3PT%42.0%

6-11FT11-16

55.0%FT%69.0%

31Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists14

9Turnovers10

2Steals5

4Blocks6

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	33	7-15	3-4	3-4	3	2	0	0	20
Quentin Jones	G	33	5-11	1-2	2-3	4	2	1	0	13
Paul Bizimana	Forward	19	3-6	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	3	8
Aidan Prukop	Guard	8	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Jarred Hyder	Guard	28	1-11	0-5	0-0	2	5	1	0	2
Joel Armotrading	C	20	1-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Justin Page	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Cam Malray	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	1	0
Isaac Spears	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jackson Mosley	PG	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Allen	Forward	26	5-9	1-3	4-7	10	2	0	1	15
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	29	4-11	4-8	0-0	4	4	1	1	12
Bobby Harvey	Guard	19	4-7	3-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	20	4-5	0-0	2-2	7	1	2	1	10
Ismail Habib	G	27	2-6	2-4	2-2	5	3	1	0	8
Kendall Munson	Forward	24	3-7	0-0	1-3	2	1	1	1	7
Hunter Woods	Forward	20	2-6	0-3	2-2	2	2	0	1	6
Isiah Kirby	Guard	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cole Farrell	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Hayden Curtiss	Center	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Keshaun Saunders	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

85.2Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.1Defensive Efficiency85.2

-23.9Net Efficiency23.9

43.2%Effective FG%53.4%

44.4%True Shooting %55.6%

13.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

18.6%Free Throw Rate27.6%

28.8%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Portland State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.