St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%St. Thomas-Minnesota

58.5%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -141

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 73

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 75

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricCalifornia Baptist

59.8MMH Power Index58.3

116.8Offensive Efficiency106.5

102.2Defensive Efficiency99.0

14.6Net Efficiency7.5

-3.6Strength of Schedule1.8

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

70.0Tempo68.2

59.2%Effective FG%48.8%

13.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.0%

10.2Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–58.3), offensive efficiency (116.8–106.5), net efficiency (14.6–7.5), recent form (14.7–11.0).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.0–102.2), strength of schedule (1.8–-3.6), offensive rebounding (37.0–22.1).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

62—66

California Baptist

California Baptist by 4 • 60.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

23-57FG23-53

40.0%FG%43.0%

7-233PT7-15

30.0%3PT%47.0%

9-13FT13-22

69.0%FT%59.0%

34Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists16

8Turnovers7

2Steals4

4Blocks2

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	26	7-16	3-7	0-0	6	2	0	0	17
Drake Dobbs	Guard	31	2-8	0-5	6-6	4	3	0	1	10
Raheem Anthony	Guard	30	4-8	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	8
Ahjany Lee	F	16	3-4	1-1	1-2	6	0	0	2	8
Kendall Blue	G	27	2-5	1-3	2-4	4	0	0	0	7
Ben Nau	Guard	22	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Brooks Allen	Forward	23	1-7	0-3	0-1	1	0	0	1	2
Carter Bjerke	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ryan Dufault	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Dom Martinelli	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno	Guard	33	8-10	3-5	1-4	4	1	1	0	20
Hunter Goodrick	Forward	34	4-10	1-1	5-6	9	3	1	0	14
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	28	5-11	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	12
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	32	1-4	0-1	4-7	3	1	1	0	6
Yvan Ouedraogo	Forward	29	2-5	0-0	2-4	8	3	0	1	6
Tylen Riley	G	15	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	4	0	0	5
Scotty Washington	G	11	1-6	0-2	1-1	2	2	0	1	3
Malik Wade	Forward	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Tasman Goodrick	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Chiles	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.4Possessions60.4

102.6Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency102.6

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

46.5%Effective FG%50.0%

49.1%True Shooting %52.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate11.8%

22.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

40.4%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 60.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.