Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.7%Jacksonville State

21.3%North Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -369

North Alabama

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 77

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 68

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricNorth Alabama

51.2MMH Power Index34.9

108.2Offensive Efficiency104.4

101.8Defensive Efficiency116.7

6.4Net Efficiency-12.3

-2.3Strength of Schedule-1.2

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.3

67.2Tempo66.5

51.0%Effective FG%48.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

44.5%Free Throw Rate39.1%

4.3Average Margin-8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–34.9), offensive efficiency (108.2–104.4), defensive efficiency (101.8–116.7), net efficiency (6.4–-12.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.3), offensive rebounding (31.5–31.3).

Final

Jacksonville State

59—61

North Alabama

North Alabama by 2 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATNorth Alabama

22-49FG17-41

45.0%FG%41.0%

3-123PT2-9

25.0%3PT%22.0%

12-21FT25-31

57.0%FT%81.0%

30Rebounds28

6Offensive Rebounds2

11Assists8

21Turnovers20

8Steals6

3Blocks—

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KyKy Tandy	Guard	29	6-14	2-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	14
Juwan Perdue	Forward	29	3-6	1-2	6-10	7	1	2	0	13
Mason Nicholson	C	8	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	8
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	31	2-4	0-1	3-5	1	3	3	0	7
Quincy Clark	Guard	29	3-7	0-0	0-0	0	3	1	0	6
Andres Burney	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	4
Travis Roberts	SG	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Matt Mayers	Forward	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	24	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	0	1	0	1
Caleb Johnson	F	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alex Odam	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
KJ Johnson	Guard	28	6-11	0-1	11-13	1	0	0	23
Damian Forrest	Forward	32	3-5	0-0	5-6	8	1	2	11
Jacari Lane	G	32	3-7	0-1	4-4	2	2	0	10
Josiah Fulcher	Guard	32	1-4	0-1	4-5	4	2	1	6
Tim Smith Jr.	Forward	16	1-2	1-2	1-3	3	1	1	4
Canin Jefferson	G	7	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	3
Marco Foster	Guard	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	2
Eoin Nelson	Center	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Will Soucie	Guard	26	0-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0
Micah Clark	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

79.8Offensive Efficiency82.5

82.5Defensive Efficiency79.8

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

48.0%Effective FG%43.9%

50.0%True Shooting %54.7%

28.4%Turnover Rate27.1%

42.9%Free Throw Rate75.6%

24.5%3-Point Rate22.0%

0.52Assist / Turnover0.40

Game Summary

North Alabama won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.