Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Northern Colorado

55.7%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -126

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 77

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 79

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricNew Mexico State

53.7MMH Power Index51.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency108.9

107.6Defensive Efficiency104.5

8.4Net Efficiency4.4

-4.3Strength of Schedule-0.7

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

71.1Tempo68.9

56.9%Effective FG%48.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.2%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

27.8%Free Throw Rate37.0%

6.0Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–108.9), net efficiency (8.4–4.4), recent form (10.8–-2.0).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.5–107.6), strength of schedule (-0.7–-4.3), ball security (15.2–15.3).

Final

Northern Colorado

71—76

New Mexico State

New Mexico State by 5 • 77.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATNew Mexico State

23-53FG21-54

43.0%FG%39.0%

7-253PT9-23

28.0%3PT%39.0%

18-28FT25-34

64.0%FT%74.0%

33Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists11

18Turnovers14

10Steals15

2Blocks4

23Fouls23

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dejour Reaves	G	38	5-12	0-4	6-8	5	2	2	0	16
Saint Thomas	Forward	35	4-11	3-7	4-4	13	3	3	0	15
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	33	4-10	4-10	0-0	3	1	0	0	12
Brock Wisne	F	23	3-5	0-1	5-9	5	2	3	0	11
Langston Reynolds	G	31	5-9	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	10
Theo Hughes	Center	15	1-2	0-0	3-6	2	0	1	1	5
Connor Creech	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Marcell McCreary	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mekhi Cameron	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zach Bloch	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Juju Ramirez	Forward	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Cook	Guard	33	8-11	5-7	5-5	2	1	1	0	26
Femi Odukale	Guard	22	4-8	1-2	9-15	8	2	4	0	18
Jaylin Jackson-Posey	Guard	26	4-10	2-4	4-4	5	3	3	0	14
Robert Carpenter	Forward	20	4-8	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	10
Clarence Jackson	Forward	19	0-4	0-1	4-4	5	0	1	0	4
Jordan Rawls	Guard	22	1-8	1-5	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	19	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	1	1
Jaden Harris	G	22	0-3	0-2	0-2	2	1	4	0	0
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	3	0
Yaak Yaak	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.3Possessions77.3

91.8Offensive Efficiency98.3

98.3Defensive Efficiency91.8

-6.5Net Efficiency6.5

50.0%Effective FG%47.2%

53.5%True Shooting %54.2%

23.3%Turnover Rate18.1%

52.8%Free Throw Rate63.0%

47.2%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.56Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 77.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.