Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Southern Miss

82.3%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -465

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 69

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 81

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricUtah Valley

49.9MMH Power Index59.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency113.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency97.3

1.2Net Efficiency16.1

-0.2Strength of Schedule-3.3

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

70.4Tempo70.6

49.9%Effective FG%56.0%

18.4%Turnover Rate19.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

43.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

0.9Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–49.9), offensive efficiency (113.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–104.9), net efficiency (16.1–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-3.3), ball security (18.4–19.9), free throw rate (43.9–37.3).

Final

Southern Miss

65—67

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 2 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATUtah Valley

22-54FG25-53

41.0%FG%47.0%

6-123PT8-22

50.0%3PT%36.0%

15-24FT9-14

63.0%FT%64.0%

29Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists18

13Turnovers21

10Steals8

4Blocks4

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Victor Hart	Forward	33	8-14	2-4	0-2	1	2	1	1	18
Austin Crowley	Guard	33	4-13	2-5	5-6	5	4	1	0	15
Donovan Ivory	Guard	35	4-8	2-3	3-5	3	1	2	1	13
Mo Arnold	Guard	31	3-9	0-0	3-4	3	2	5	0	9
Tegra Izay	C	20	1-2	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	2	4
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	9	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	20	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jose Benitez	Guard	17	0-2	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tanner Toolson	G	35	8-16	4-10	2-3	10	1	3	1	22
Jaden McClanahan	Guard	30	3-8	2-5	4-4	4	3	0	0	12
Caleb Stone-Carrawell	Forward	31	4-10	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	1	9
Drake Allen	G	34	3-7	1-3	1-2	1	9	3	1	8
Trevin Dorius	Center	23	3-4	0-0	1-2	9	1	0	1	7
K'mani Doughty	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	1-3	2	0	0	0	3
Nate Tshimanga	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Trevan Leonhardt	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Osiris Grady	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

94.1Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency94.1

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

46.3%Effective FG%54.7%

49.7%True Shooting %56.2%

18.7%Turnover Rate30.6%

44.4%Free Throw Rate26.4%

22.2%3-Point Rate41.5%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.