Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Northwestern

33.3%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -200

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 79

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricMississippi State

55.4MMH Power Index44.6

111.6Offensive Efficiency107.4

109.8Defensive Efficiency113.2

1.8Net Efficiency-5.8

5.6Strength of Schedule5.0

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

65.6Tempo72.3

51.9%Effective FG%51.6%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

34.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

1.2Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.6), offensive efficiency (111.6–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.8–113.2), net efficiency (1.8–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (29.8–28.2).

Final

Northwestern

57—66

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 9 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATMississippi State

23-61FG23-49

38.0%FG%47.0%

6-263PT8-23

23.0%3PT%35.0%

5-7FT12-17

71.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists15

9Turnovers15

9Steals3

3Blocks5

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Berry	Guard	36	5-13	3-8	1-2	4	0	3	0	14
Ryan Langborg	Guard	39	5-12	1-7	2-3	4	4	2	1	13
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	31	6-12	1-3	0-0	3	1	2	1	13
Boo Buie	Guard	35	4-14	1-5	0-0	6	3	2	0	9
Nick Martinelli	F	13	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Luke Hunger	F	8	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Matthew Nicholson	Center	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Blake Preston	Forward	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Jordan Clayton	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	31	9-14	4-8	7-7	3	3	1	0	29
Dashawn Davis	Guard	16	4-7	3-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	11
Shakeel Moore	Guard	28	3-8	0-2	2-4	3	0	0	0	8
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	31	2-4	1-2	0-0	11	3	1	1	5
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	25	2-4	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	0	5
Cameron Matthews	Forward	37	2-6	0-3	0-0	9	6	0	1	4
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	22	1-2	0-0	2-4	4	1	1	2	4
Trey Fort	G	9	0-4	0-3	0-1	4	1	0	1	0
Gai Chol	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

87.4Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency87.4

-13.8Net Efficiency13.8

42.6%Effective FG%55.1%

44.3%True Shooting %57.8%

13.6%Turnover Rate23.4%

11.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

42.6%3-Point Rate46.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.