Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%Weber State

58.7%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -142

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 78

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreColgate 80

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricColgate

50.2MMH Power Index48.8

113.6Offensive Efficiency111.7

108.2Defensive Efficiency109.0

5.4Net Efficiency2.7

-3.4Strength of Schedule-2.0

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

71.5Tempo68.4

52.6%Effective FG%54.5%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.8%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

38.3%Free Throw Rate30.0%

3.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–48.8), offensive efficiency (113.6–111.7), defensive efficiency (108.2–109.0), net efficiency (5.4–2.7).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.0–-3.4), recent form (-0.3–-1.8), shooting efficiency (54.5–52.6).

Final

Weber State

55—57

Colgate

Colgate by 2 • 53.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATColgate

17-47FG19-46

36.0%FG%41.0%

8-263PT9-25

31.0%3PT%36.0%

13-18FT10-15

72.0%FT%67.0%

25Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists14

7Turnovers10

4Steals6

—Blocks1

12Fouls16

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dillon Jones	Forward	38	6-11	1-4	1-5	7	5	0	14
Steven Verplancken	Guard	36	3-10	2-7	2-2	3	0	1	10
Dyson Koehler	Forward	26	3-10	1-5	3-3	3	0	1	10
Louie Jordan	F	10	3-5	3-5	0-0	2	0	0	9
Viljami Vartiainen	G	20	0-0	0-0	5-6	3	0	0	5
KJ Cunningham	Guard	18	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	3
Alex Tew	Center	27	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	2	2	2
Blaise Threatt	Guard	20	0-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	2
Handje Tamba	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Marko Šarenac	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	32	5-12	5-11	0-0	8	2	0	0	15
Braeden Smith	G	34	3-8	1-5	3-4	4	4	2	0	10
Keegan Records	Forward	30	3-5	0-0	2-2	11	4	2	0	8
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	25	3-6	2-4	0-1	0	1	0	1	8
Sam Thomson	Forward	21	2-4	0-0	4-6	4	2	0	0	8
Chandler Baker	Guard	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Parker Jones	G	18	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Jalen Cox	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jeff Woodward	Forward	18	0-3	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Kyle Carlesimo	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

53.9Possessions53.9

102.0Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency102.0

-3.7Net Efficiency3.7

44.7%Effective FG%51.1%

49.5%True Shooting %53.6%

12.6%Turnover Rate19.2%

38.3%Free Throw Rate32.6%

55.3%3-Point Rate54.3%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Colgate won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 53.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.