Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Little Rock

48.5%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia State -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -106

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 72

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 73

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricGeorgia State

44MMH Power Index38.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency101.3

108.2Defensive Efficiency107.5

-5.2Net Efficiency-6.2

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.7

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

68.5Tempo69.5

50.3%Effective FG%45.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.4%

-3.6Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–38.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–101.3), net efficiency (-5.2–-6.2), strength of schedule (0.5–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–108.2), ball security (15.6–18.7), free throw rate (37.4–28.6).

Final

Little Rock

77—88

Georgia State

Georgia State by 11 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATGeorgia State

24-62FG28-60

39.0%FG%47.0%

5-243PT9-30

21.0%3PT%30.0%

24-31FT23-30

77.0%FT%77.0%

37Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists16

7Turnovers6

6Steals6

1Blocks2

21Fouls22

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Cougar Downing	G	24	6-12	5-10	0-0	3	0	3	17
KK Robinson	G	33	5-16	0-4	6-6	10	5	0	16
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	32	2-6	0-0	4-6	2	2	0	8
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	24	1-5	0-3	4-4	2	0	0	6
Bradley Douglas	G	26	2-10	0-4	0-0	2	4	0	4
Creed Williamson	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	4
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0
Pavle Kuzmanovic	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Toneari Lane	G	32	7-18	6-16	3-4	3	2	0	0	23
Dwon Odom	Guard	28	6-9	1-1	2-3	7	5	0	0	15
Jamaine Mann	Guard	26	5-10	0-2	5-6	5	1	1	1	15
Lucas Taylor	Guard	25	5-11	2-6	2-2	1	0	1	0	14
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	27	4-6	0-1	3-4	7	1	1	0	11
Rickey Bradley Jr.	G	23	0-2	0-2	7-9	4	5	0	0	7
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	0	3
Ed Nnamoko	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	0
Julian Mackey	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Brenden Tucker	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

112.4Offensive Efficiency128.5

128.5Defensive Efficiency112.4

-16.1Net Efficiency16.1

42.7%Effective FG%54.2%

50.2%True Shooting %59.3%

10.2%Turnover Rate8.8%

50.0%Free Throw Rate50.0%

38.7%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.86Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.