Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Elon

84.6%Winthrop

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWinthrop -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL161.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWinthrop -549

Winthrop

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 75

Projected Total161.5

Projected ScoreWinthrop 87

Team Comparison

ElonMetricWinthrop

45.5MMH Power Index56.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency115.6

112.7Defensive Efficiency104.3

0.3Net Efficiency11.3

-1.4Strength of Schedule-3.6

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.8

69.1Tempo72.4

52.6%Effective FG%51.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

34.0%Free Throw Rate44.4%

0.3Average Margin8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Winthrop HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWinthrop holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.2–45.5), offensive efficiency (115.6–113.0), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.7), net efficiency (11.3–0.3).

Elon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-3.6), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.2).

Final

Elon

70—78

Winthrop

Winthrop by 8 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATWinthrop

20-51FG23-54

39.0%FG%43.0%

8-293PT5-20

28.0%3PT%25.0%

22-28FT27-35

79.0%FT%77.0%

35Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists12

14Turnovers7

3Steals7

1Blocks2

27Fouls22

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Higgins	Guard	35	6-9	2-4	6-7	6	0	0	0	20
Takai Simpkins	G	31	2-10	0-4	10-12	7	5	1	0	14
Nick Dorn	G	17	3-6	3-6	0-0	4	0	0	1	9
Sam Sherry	Forward	13	2-3	0-0	3-3	2	2	1	0	7
Zac Ervin	Guard	28	2-10	2-10	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Deandre Smart	Forward	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Kendall Campbell	F	14	1-3	0-0	3-6	3	0	0	0	5
Max Mackinnon	G	25	1-5	1-3	0-0	6	4	0	0	3
LA Pratt	G	24	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Winthrop

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kelton Talford	Not Available	25	4-7	0-1	10-10	5	0	3	0	18
Sin'Cere McMahon	Not Available	30	3-11	2-8	7-8	3	1	0	0	15
Nick Johnson	Not Available	36	5-11	1-3	2-4	4	4	1	0	13
Kasen Harrison	Not Available	35	3-10	1-3	4-8	5	5	2	1	11
Noah Van Bibber	Guard	14	3-5	1-3	1-1	1	0	0	0	8
K.J. Doucet	Forward	8	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Yoro Diallo	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Moore	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

106.2Offensive Efficiency118.4

118.4Defensive Efficiency106.2

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

47.1%Effective FG%47.2%

54.4%True Shooting %55.2%

21.4%Turnover Rate10.5%

54.9%Free Throw Rate64.8%

56.9%3-Point Rate37.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Winthrop won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.