LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%LSU

70.8%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWake Forest -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL161.8

MODEL MONEYLINEWake Forest -242

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 78

Projected Total161.8

Projected ScoreWake Forest 84

Team Comparison

LSUMetricWake Forest

54.2MMH Power Index57.6

115.5Offensive Efficiency112.4

111.3Defensive Efficiency109.7

4.2Net Efficiency2.7

4.5Strength of Schedule7.2

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.5Tempo70.2

53.4%Effective FG%52.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.5%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

41.9%Free Throw Rate36.1%

2.9Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.5–112.4), net efficiency (4.2–2.7), shooting efficiency (53.4–52.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–30.0).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (57.6–54.2), defensive efficiency (109.7–111.3), strength of schedule (7.2–4.5).

Final

LSU

86—80

Wake Forest

LSU by 6 • 78.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATWake Forest

29-71FG28-60

41.0%FG%47.0%

7-183PT8-23

39.0%3PT%35.0%

21-31FT16-20

68.0%FT%80.0%

43Rebounds39

18Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists15

11Turnovers18

13Steals6

7Blocks8

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Baker	Forward	38	9-15	1-1	4-4	8	1	1	1	23
Jordan Wright	Guard	36	5-17	2-4	3-7	9	2	4	0	15
Jalen Reed	F	31	3-9	0-2	6-7	6	0	1	4	12
Tyrell Ward	G	28	2-7	1-3	4-8	7	3	2	1	9
Carlos Stewart Jr.	Guard	19	3-5	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Mike Williams III	G	24	3-8	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Derek Fountain	Forward	19	1-5	0-1	4-4	4	0	1	1	6
Trae Hannibal	Guard	16	2-2	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	4
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Daimion Collins	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	45	9-16	4-10	0-0	4	1	0	1	22
Boopie Miller	G	36	5-11	1-2	8-8	3	8	1	1	19
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	44	5-12	2-4	6-6	9	3	2	0	18
Andrew Carr	Forward	43	7-16	1-4	2-4	9	2	0	3	17
Marqus Marion	F	26	2-2	0-0	0-2	5	0	1	3	4
Zach Keller	F	21	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	0
Parker Friedrichsen	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Abramo Canka	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.6Possessions78.6

109.4Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency109.4

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

45.8%Effective FG%53.3%

50.2%True Shooting %57.6%

14.0%Turnover Rate22.9%

43.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

25.4%3-Point Rate38.3%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

LSU won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 78.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.