Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.8%Omaha

13.2%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOmaha -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEOmaha -658

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 80

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreAir Force 68

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricAir Force

44.5MMH Power Index23

110.2Offensive Efficiency91.3

110.8Defensive Efficiency118.5

-0.6Net Efficiency-27.2

-2.5Strength of Schedule6.2

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

69.0Tempo67.4

53.6%Effective FG%49.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate21.9%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

34.0%Free Throw Rate35.9%

-0.5Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Omaha HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOmaha holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–23.0), offensive efficiency (110.2–91.3), defensive efficiency (110.8–118.5), net efficiency (-0.6–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-2.5), free throw rate (35.9–34.0).

Final

Omaha

56—58

Air Force

Air Force by 2 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATAir Force

20-57FG19-44

35.0%FG%43.0%

5-143PT7-25

36.0%3PT%28.0%

11-16FT13-17

69.0%FT%76.0%

30Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds4

8Assists10

10Turnovers16

8Steals4

—Blocks6

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nick Davis	Forward	20	5-7	0-0	3-5	1	2	1	13
Tony Osburn	G	31	3-7	3-7	2-2	6	0	2	11
Frankie Fidler	Forward	30	2-9	1-1	2-2	2	3	2	7
Luke Jungers	F	20	1-4	1-2	4-5	2	0	0	7
Marcel Bryant	F	12	3-6	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	6
JJ White	G	25	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	4
Grant Stubblefield	G	24	2-7	0-1	0-0	2	2	3	4
Marquel Sutton	F	19	1-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2
Jamal Ambrose	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	2
Jaeden Marshall	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0
Ja'Sean Glover	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	38	6-12	2-6	2-3	4	3	0	0	16
Kellan Boylan	F	38	4-8	2-5	3-4	6	2	0	0	13
Corbin Green	F	22	3-5	0-1	5-7	9	1	0	3	11
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	38	2-9	1-6	3-3	6	1	1	1	8
Beau Becker	Forward	18	2-4	2-4	0-0	4	0	0	1	6
Byron Brown	Guard	25	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Chase Beasley	Guard	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Kolby Gilles	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

87.6Offensive Efficiency90.8

90.8Defensive Efficiency87.6

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

39.5%Effective FG%51.1%

43.3%True Shooting %55.7%

15.7%Turnover Rate25.0%

28.1%Free Throw Rate38.6%

24.6%3-Point Rate56.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Air Force won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.