American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%American University

70.6%Georgetown

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgetown -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL138.6

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgetown -240

Georgetown

13-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 67

Projected Total138.6

Projected ScoreGeorgetown 72

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricGeorgetown

48.2MMH Power Index51.5

110.6Offensive Efficiency107.2

105.8Defensive Efficiency107.4

4.8Net Efficiency-0.2

-4.3Strength of Schedule4.4

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.8

67.5Tempo61.7

52.6%Effective FG%49.2%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

30.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

3.3Average Margin-0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.8–107.4), net efficiency (4.8–-0.2), recent form (2.2–-4.8).

Georgetown COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (51.5–48.2), strength of schedule (4.4–-4.3), offensive rebounding (32.3–28.0).

Final

American University

83—88

Georgetown

Georgetown by 5 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATGeorgetown

29-62FG30-61

47.0%FG%49.0%

9-273PT10-28

33.0%3PT%36.0%

16-21FT18-26

76.0%FT%69.0%

38Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists13

14Turnovers11

6Steals5

1Blocks4

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	31	6-11	0-3	5-7	9	0	0	0	17
Lincoln Ball	Guard	35	4-5	2-2	2-2	7	2	1	0	12
Elijah Stephens	Guard	31	4-7	0-1	4-4	1	9	0	0	12
Geoff Sprouse	G	24	4-9	4-8	0-0	3	0	1	0	12
Matt Mayock	F	27	3-7	1-5	2-2	5	1	0	0	9
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	13	3-6	0-0	1-3	3	0	1	0	7
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	34	2-7	2-5	0-0	7	0	2	1	6
Colin Smalls	Guard	19	2-9	0-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Greg Jones	F	10	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	3
Noah Jones	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgetown

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Epps	G	40	11-22	6-13	3-3	0	4	0	0	31
Dontrez Styles	Guard	44	8-18	1-6	5-6	11	1	0	0	22
Rowan Brumbaugh	G	32	4-9	1-5	4-5	4	4	3	0	13
Supreme Cook	Not Available	38	3-3	0-0	4-7	4	1	0	2	10
Wayne Bristol Jr.	Guard	25	1-2	1-1	2-2	5	1	2	2	5
Drew Fielder	F	13	2-2	1-1	0-1	5	0	0	0	5
Jay Heath	Guard	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Cam Bacote	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Mutombo	Center	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

111.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency111.9

-6.7Net Efficiency6.7

54.0%Effective FG%57.4%

57.7%True Shooting %60.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.9%Free Throw Rate42.6%

43.5%3-Point Rate45.9%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Georgetown won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.