Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Portland State

82.9%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -485

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 71

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 81

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

50.2MMH Power Index59.8

109.3Offensive Efficiency116.8

100.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

9.1Net Efficiency14.6

-5.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

70.1Tempo70.0

51.7%Effective FG%59.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.4Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.8–109.3), net efficiency (14.6–9.1), strength of schedule (-3.6–-5.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–102.2), offensive rebounding (31.6–22.1), free throw rate (36.8–35.2).

Final

Portland State

70—76

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 6 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

24-58FG26-51

41.0%FG%51.0%

12-343PT15-25

35.0%3PT%60.0%

10-13FT9-14

77.0%FT%64.0%

29Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists16

11Turnovers14

9Steals7

2Blocks2

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	36	6-14	4-11	0-0	5	3	2	1	16
KJ Allen	Forward	31	4-9	2-4	4-4	6	1	2	0	14
Bobby Harvey	Guard	21	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	11
Ismail Habib	G	35	2-4	2-4	4-4	3	4	1	1	10
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	16	4-8	1-3	1-1	0	1	1	0	10
Kendall Munson	Forward	28	2-4	0-0	1-2	7	2	0	0	5
Hunter Woods	Forward	17	2-7	0-5	0-2	4	1	0	0	4
Hayden Curtiss	Center	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Isiah Kirby	Guard	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Cole Farrell	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kendall Blue	G	30	7-9	6-7	2-2	3	0	1	0	22
Drake Dobbs	Guard	30	7-8	3-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	17
Carter Bjerke	F	16	4-4	2-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Raheem Anthony	Guard	25	1-7	1-3	5-6	6	2	2	1	8
Ben Nau	Guard	18	3-4	2-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	23	3-11	0-3	0-2	8	4	1	1	6
Brooks Allen	Forward	24	1-1	1-1	0-2	3	2	1	0	3
Ahjany Lee	F	18	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Ryan Dufault	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dom Martinelli	Guard	6	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

107.7Offensive Efficiency116.9

116.9Defensive Efficiency107.7

-9.2Net Efficiency9.2

51.7%Effective FG%65.7%

54.5%True Shooting %65.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate21.7%

22.4%Free Throw Rate27.5%

58.6%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.