Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.4%Xavier

94.6%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -20.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1752

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 66

Projected Total152.4

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 86

Team Comparison

XavierMetricSaint Mary's

49.5MMH Power Index70.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency116.7

112.4Defensive Efficiency97.4

-3.2Net Efficiency19.3

5.6Strength of Schedule3.0

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

71.7Tempo66.3

51.7%Effective FG%53.1%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.6%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

28.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-2.3Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–49.5), offensive efficiency (116.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.4–112.4), net efficiency (19.3–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–3.0), ball security (13.9–16.6).

Final

Xavier

66—49

Saint Mary's

Xavier by 17 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATSaint Mary's

27-56FG18-70

48.0%FG%26.0%

5-133PT5-23

38.0%3PT%22.0%

7-15FT8-13

47.0%FT%62.0%

40Rebounds50

6Offensive Rebounds20

17Assists9

8Turnovers11

5Steals6

6Blocks4

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dayvion McKnight	Guard	30	6-9	1-2	1-1	5	4	1	0	14
Quincy Olivari	Guard	23	4-13	3-7	1-3	5	1	0	0	12
Desmond Claude	G	30	5-9	0-0	1-3	3	7	1	0	11
Trey Green	G	23	3-6	1-3	3-3	4	3	1	0	10
Abou Ousmane	Forward	14	4-8	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	1	8
Sasa Ciani	F	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2	6
Lazar Djokovic	F	15	1-3	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	0	3
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	30	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Dailyn Swain	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	2	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	38	4-9	2-3	4-6	8	3	0	0	14
Joshua Jefferson	F	27	5-19	1-4	2-3	7	1	1	0	13
Aidan Mahaney	G	29	2-13	1-6	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Mitchell Saxen	Center	27	3-12	0-0	0-0	14	2	0	1	6
Alex Ducas	Guard	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Mason Forbes	Forward	21	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	2	1	2
Luke Barrett	Forward	18	1-3	0-2	0-2	4	0	0	0	2
Chris Howell	G	18	1-7	0-4	0-0	3	0	2	1	2
Harry Wessels	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jordan Ross	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Rory Hawke	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Bennett	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency74.0

74.0Defensive Efficiency99.7

25.7Net Efficiency-25.7

52.7%Effective FG%29.3%

52.3%True Shooting %32.2%

12.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

26.8%Free Throw Rate18.6%

23.2%3-Point Rate32.9%

2.13Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Xavier won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.