Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.9%Cal Poly

86.1%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -13.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -619

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 71

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 85

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricCalifornia Baptist

46.5MMH Power Index58.3

107.2Offensive Efficiency106.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency99.0

-3.8Net Efficiency7.5

1.7Strength of Schedule1.8

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

76.6Tempo68.2

52.2%Effective FG%48.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.9%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-2.9Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–46.5), defensive efficiency (99.0–111.0), net efficiency (7.5–-3.8), strength of schedule (1.8–1.7).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.5), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.8).

Final

Cal Poly

58—67

California Baptist

California Baptist by 9 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

24-62FG20-55

39.0%FG%36.0%

4-193PT5-18

21.0%3PT%28.0%

6-11FT22-31

55.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds47

11Offensive Rebounds17

9Assists8

6Turnovers9

6Steals3

5Blocks1

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	38	6-15	2-4	3-3	7	3	1	0	17
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	29	7-11	0-2	1-1	7	1	0	0	15
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	28	5-12	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	1	10
Jarred Hyder	Guard	31	3-12	2-8	1-2	0	3	1	2	9
Quentin Jones	G	30	2-8	0-2	1-2	5	0	2	2	5
Justin Page	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Aidan Prukop	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cam Malray	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Joel Armotrading	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Paul Bizimana	Forward	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	38	8-19	5-10	5-5	1	3	1	0	26
Yvan Ouedraogo	Forward	29	7-10	0-0	3-9	13	1	0	1	17
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno	Guard	27	1-4	0-2	5-6	1	1	0	0	7
Hunter Goodrick	Forward	31	1-7	0-2	3-4	16	2	0	0	5
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	32	0-4	0-2	4-4	4	0	0	0	4
Scotty Washington	G	14	1-5	0-2	2-2	1	0	2	0	4
Malik Wade	Forward	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Tylen Riley	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Chris Chiles	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tasman Goodrick	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

93.5Offensive Efficiency108.1

108.1Defensive Efficiency93.5

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

41.9%Effective FG%40.9%

43.1%True Shooting %48.0%

9.6%Turnover Rate14.6%

17.7%Free Throw Rate56.4%

30.6%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.