UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.1%UCF

41.9%South Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -139

South Dakota State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 78

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 78

Team Comparison

UCFMetricSouth Dakota State

57.1MMH Power Index49.6

113.3Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.0Defensive Efficiency106.9

3.3Net Efficiency3.7

6.6Strength of Schedule-2.2

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.5

71.2Tempo68.2

53.0%Effective FG%52.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.2%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

31.1%Free Throw Rate30.3%

2.4Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–49.6), offensive efficiency (113.3–110.6), strength of schedule (6.6–-2.2), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.6).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–110.0), net efficiency (3.7–3.3), recent form (0.5–-3.8).

Final

UCF

83—80

South Dakota State

UCF by 3 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATSouth Dakota State

29-59FG24-54

49.0%FG%44.0%

7-243PT12-28

29.0%3PT%43.0%

18-24FT20-29

75.0%FT%69.0%

29Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists12

5Turnovers16

12Steals3

6Blocks3

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marchelus Avery	Forward	30	7-16	4-9	4-4	2	2	0	1	22
Jaylin Sellers	G	34	5-13	2-7	8-11	3	1	2	0	20
Darius Johnson	Guard	34	4-10	0-3	3-5	3	4	4	0	11
Omar Payne	Forward	20	4-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	3	2	10
Shemarri Allen	Guard	34	3-5	0-0	1-2	4	3	1	0	7
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	15	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	3	6
Tyler Hendricks	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Thierno Sylla	C	15	1-4	0-3	0-0	5	1	2	0	2
Nils Machowski	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Charlie Easley	Guard	38	8-13	3-6	2-3	6	3	0	0	21
Luke Appel	Forward	22	5-8	3-3	6-8	2	3	0	0	19
Zeke Mayo	Guard	38	3-7	2-5	4-5	8	3	1	0	12
Nate Barnhart	Forward	24	4-6	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	2	11
Kalen Garry	G	30	2-7	1-6	2-3	5	3	2	0	7
William Kyle III	F	21	1-7	0-0	2-4	6	0	0	1	4
Bubz Alvarez	G	14	1-4	0-2	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Matthew Mors	F	13	0-2	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

116.7Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency116.7

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

55.1%Effective FG%55.6%

58.9%True Shooting %59.0%

7.1%Turnover Rate22.3%

40.7%Free Throw Rate53.7%

40.7%3-Point Rate51.9%

2.60Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

UCF won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.