Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Cal State Fullerton

63.8%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -176

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 78

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 82

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricSouthern Miss

49.4MMH Power Index49.9

108.8Offensive Efficiency106.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

1.7Net Efficiency1.2

-1.2Strength of Schedule-0.2

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

76.3Tempo70.4

52.6%Effective FG%49.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate43.9%

1.3Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–49.4), defensive efficiency (104.9–107.1), strength of schedule (-0.2–-1.2), recent form (3.8–2.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–106.1), net efficiency (1.7–1.2), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.9).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

74—67

Southern Miss

Cal State Fullerton by 7 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATSouthern Miss

23-44FG22-55

52.0%FG%40.0%

6-143PT6-17

43.0%3PT%35.0%

22-28FT17-22

79.0%FT%77.0%

32Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists9

13Turnovers8

5Steals10

5Blocks4

16Fouls25

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Jones	Guard	36	3-8	2-5	11-15	3	7	0	2	19
DJ Brewton	Guard	32	3-9	0-0	9-10	4	2	3	1	15
Donovan Oday	G	25	4-8	1-1	2-2	5	0	0	0	11
Grayson Carper	Guard	36	3-6	3-6	0-0	7	3	1	1	9
Vincent Lee	Forward	26	4-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Beril Kabamba	Forward	20	3-5	0-1	0-1	2	1	1	0	6
Kendrick De Luna	F	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Zachary Visentin	Center	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
John Mikey Square	Not Available	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Jalen Cooper	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Victor Hart	Forward	39	9-13	2-4	3-4	5	1	3	1	23
Austin Crowley	Guard	35	3-10	1-6	8-10	0	4	1	0	15
Donovan Ivory	Guard	34	3-12	1-3	5-6	6	1	2	1	12
Tegra Izay	C	13	5-6	0-0	1-2	10	0	0	0	11
Mo Arnold	Guard	23	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	27	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	3	1	0
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	12	0-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	1	0
Jose Benitez	Guard	10	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

116.7Offensive Efficiency105.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency116.7

11.0Net Efficiency-11.0

59.1%Effective FG%45.5%

64.6%True Shooting %51.2%

20.5%Turnover Rate12.6%

63.6%Free Throw Rate40.0%

31.8%3-Point Rate30.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.