Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%Murray State

75.6%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -310

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 74

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 83

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricUNC Wilmington

53.6MMH Power Index59.2

115.0Offensive Efficiency114.1

111.0Defensive Efficiency101.7

4.0Net Efficiency12.4

3.5Strength of Schedule-1.5

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

72.3Tempo66.9

54.0%Effective FG%51.1%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate41.7%

2.9Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–53.6), defensive efficiency (101.7–111.0), net efficiency (12.4–4.0), recent form (5.5–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.1), strength of schedule (3.5–-1.5), shooting efficiency (54.0–51.1).

Final

Murray State

81—83

UNC Wilmington

UNC Wilmington by 2 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

31-68FG32-66

46.0%FG%48.0%

9-253PT6-17

36.0%3PT%35.0%

10-16FT13-18

63.0%FT%72.0%

40Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists7

7Turnovers7

4Steals2

3Blocks3

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	42	8-14	6-10	2-3	7	6	1	0	24
Rob Perry	Guard	34	9-18	2-4	0-1	7	4	0	1	20
Nick Ellington	F	36	5-10	0-0	5-8	8	1	0	1	15
Brian Moore Jr.	G	37	5-11	1-2	1-2	5	1	1	0	12
Justin Morgan	Guard	22	3-7	0-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Malek Abdelgowad	F	9	1-3	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	4
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	30	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Quincy Anderson	Guard	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Patrick Chew	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maleeck Harden-Hayes	Guard	39	7-10	4-5	5-6	7	0	1	2	23
Shykeim Phillips	Guard	34	8-15	0-0	3-4	2	3	1	0	19
Trazarien White	Forward	28	9-15	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	1	18
Donovan Newby	Not Available	31	3-5	2-4	3-3	4	1	0	0	11
KJ Jenkins	Guard	35	3-10	0-5	0-2	6	0	0	0	6
Khamari McGriff	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Noah Ross	G	14	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Nick Farrar	Guard	16	0-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Nolan Hodge	G	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.3

114.3Defensive Efficiency111.6

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

52.2%Effective FG%53.0%

53.6%True Shooting %55.7%

9.8%Turnover Rate9.5%

23.5%Free Throw Rate27.3%

36.8%3-Point Rate25.8%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.